Neighborhood · Ranked #32,842 of 84,120 nationally

Rancho Hermoso Eviction Risk: Moderate , Phoenix

Tract 04013981000 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 580 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

Census tract 04013981000 covers part of the Rancho Hermoso area of Phoenix, AZ, and scores 5/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 580 residents. The score leans hardest on economic stress at 10/10.

Risk score

Moderate

Confidence 60% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 0% Stable renters 0% Owners 100%

Tract context

SVI overall-10.00

Poverty rate100.0%

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Phoenix and the region

Centroid at 33.4550, -112.0258 · click any tract to drill in

Why Rancho Hermoso scores 5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Phoenix

5.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.1

State political climate

Arizona legislature & governorship

2.2

Economic stress

100.0% poverty · this tract

10.0

Supply constraint

tract rent vs county FMR

5.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Phoenix

1.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

3.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Phoenix

4.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Phoenix

3.0

How Rancho Hermoso compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: -1,000

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

-1,000%Socioeconomic
-1,000%Household composition
64%Racial/ethnic minority
-1,000%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Rancho Hermoso. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

42.7%Housing insecurity
37.9%Utility-shutoff threat
64.7%Food insecurity
72.0%SNAP enrollment
36.6%Transit barriers
36.1%No health insurance
25.3%Frequent mental distress
57.0%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Rancho Hermoso

Food insecurity runs 64.7% against 17.8% nationally. Housing insecurity runs 42.7% against 14.2% nationally.

The poverty rate is 100%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 1/10.

Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. Against the Maricopa County average of 3.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.3 points.

That is riskier than roughly 61% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Statewide the AZ average is 3.8, so this tract runs 1.2 points hotter.

Model confidence here is 60%, lower than typical because some ACS inputs for this tract carry wide margins of error, so read the score as a band, not a point.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013981000

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013981000?

Census tract 04013981000 in the Rancho Hermoso neighborhood scores 5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013981000?

100.0% of residents in tract 04013981000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 580.

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013981000?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the -1000th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic -1000th, household -1000th, minority 64th, housing -1000th.

Is tract 04013981000 considered part of Rancho Hermoso?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013981000 fall within Rancho Hermoso (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 04013981000 struggle to pay rent?

About 42.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 37.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 04013981000 compare to Phoenix overall?

Tract 04013981000 scores 5/10, higher than the parent city of Phoenix at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Phoenix eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Phoenix

Top eight tracts in Phoenix ranked by composite eviction-risk score.