Neighborhood · Phoenix, AZ

Maryvale Terrace Eviction Risk: Moderate

4 census tracts · pop 20,563 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.5/10 · range 3.5–5

Maryvale Terrace takes in 4 census tracts of Phoenix, AZ and houses 20,563 people. Scored across those inputs it reaches 4.5/10, placing it in the Moderate tier. Severe burden reaches 39%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.

Against a Phoenix baseline of 31.0%, 59% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line. Average gross rent is $982, 38% below the Phoenix average of $1,582. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10.

Food insecurity affects 37.2% of adults, 19.4 points above the national rate. CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 26.6% of adults, against 14.2% nationally.

Internally this is not one market. Tract scores span 3.5 to 5, so two buildings inside the same boundary can carry materially different risk. The poverty rate is 23%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Court records carry 1,014 eviction filings across its 3 observed tracts. Well under the midpoint is supply constraint, at 2.9/10. Filing activity peaked in 2005 at 57.1% of renter households.

Running cool is eviction-process difficulty, at 3/10. That places it #29 of 113 neighborhoods in Phoenix.

Underwrite the address, not the area: with 1.5 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score

4.5

Moderate

4 tracts · population-weighted

Maryvale Terrace vs Phoenix How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

59.3% +91%

Phoenix: 31.0%

Average gross rent

$982 -38%

Phoenix: $1,582

Average HH income

$61,369 -20%

Phoenix: $77,041

Poverty rate

22.8% +60%

Phoenix: 14.3%

Renter share

44.5% +4%

Phoenix: 42.7%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Maryvale Terrace and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 4 tracts span score 3.5–5

Why Maryvale Terrace scores 4.5

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 2.2–2.2 across tracts

2.2

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.1–5.1 across tracts

5.1

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts

5.5

Rent control risk

59% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts

1.0

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts

3.0

Tenant organizing strength

45% renter households · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts

4.5

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts

3.0

Economic stress

22.8% below poverty line · Range 2.1–8.7 across tracts

5.7

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.6–5.0 across tracts

2.9

Risk score comparison

Maryvale Terrace vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Maryvale Terrace?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution

0246810

Spread of 1.5 points from 3.5 to 5. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.

Tracts as heat grid

5.0 5.0 4.9 3.5

Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.

Census tracts

4 tracts in Maryvale Terrace

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
04013109707	5	5,038	45%	$1,334
04013109801	5	5,028	65%	$1,500
04013109802	4.9	4,629	26%	$1,281
04013109500	3.5	5,868	94%	—

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 85

Pop-weighted across 4 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 88%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 83%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 90%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 55%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Maryvale Terrace

Aggregated across 3 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

1,014Total filings (sum)
25.99%Avg annual filing rate
57.1%Peak year (2005)
23.88%Latest filed (2005)

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Maryvale Terrace

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

26.4%Housing insecurity
14.0%Utility shutoff threat
36.9%Food insecurity
26.7%SNAP enrollment
32.0%No health insurance
38.2%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Maryvale Terrace

What is the eviction-risk score for Maryvale Terrace?

Maryvale Terrace scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier) across 4 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Maryvale Terrace compare to Phoenix overall?

Maryvale Terrace scores 0.9 points higher than Phoenix overall (3.6/10). Renters spend 59% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $982 vs $1,582.

What is the average rent in Maryvale Terrace?

Average gross rent in Maryvale Terrace is $982/month (pop-weighted across 4 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Maryvale Terrace residents are renters?

45% of Maryvale Terrace households are renter-occupied (vs 43% in Phoenix). The neighborhood has 20,563 residents.

Is Maryvale Terrace a high social-vulnerability area?

Maryvale Terrace sits in the 85th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in Maryvale Terrace have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Maryvale Terrace is census tract 04013109707 (score 5/10). Across the 4 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.5 to 5, a spread of 1.5 points.

How safe is Maryvale Terrace for landlords?

Maryvale Terrace carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.5/10). Pop-weighted across 4 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Phoenix as a whole (3.6/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Maryvale Terrace?

Maryvale Terrace has 19,718 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (77.5%), White (non-Hispanic) (9.9%), Black (non-Hispanic) (8.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Maryvale Terrace

5 County Fair West 4 tracts · pop 14,408 4.4 Indian Springs 6 tracts · pop 28,550 4.8 Longhaven West 5 tracts · pop 23,688 4.6 Cartwright 2 tracts · pop 13,870 4.6 Ironwood Terrace 6 tracts · pop 28,602 4.8 Sunburst Homes 4 tracts · pop 18,579

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Phoenix

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Maryvale Terrace.

4.5 Minnesota Court 4 tracts · pop 13,019 4.5 Canyon View 1 tracts · pop 3,833 4.6 Lookout Mountain 2 tracts · pop 7,103 4.6 Cartwright 2 tracts · pop 13,870 4.6 Shadow Canyon 2 tracts · pop 8,039 4.4 Santa Maria 2 tracts · pop 9,864

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