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Neighborhood · Phoenix, AZ

Arcadia Eviction Risk: Lower

5 census tracts · pop 17,358 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.1/10 · range 3–3.6

Arcadia is a 5-tract neighborhood of Phoenix, AZ and houses 17,358 people. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 3.1/10, in the Lower tier. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10.

At $1,196 a month, rents sit 24% under what the rest of Phoenix commands. Running cool is economic stress, at 1.9/10. Cost burden runs 38% against 31.0% citywide, putting Arcadia 6.8% over its own city.

Severe burden reaches 15%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 5.6% of adults, against 14.2% nationally.

Filings are well documented here: 1,971 across 5 observed tracts. 3.5% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, below a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

On the softer side is supply constraint, at 2.7/10. The worst year on record was 2005, when filings touched 40.2% of renter households. That places it #80 of 113 neighborhoods in Phoenix.

Judgments average 8.0% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order. The closest comparables inside the same city are Paradise Valley Miranda and Triple Crown.

With little internal variation, 3.1/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
3.1
Lower
5 tracts · population-weighted
Arcadia vs Phoenix How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
37.8% +22%
Phoenix: 31.0%
Average gross rent
$1,196 -24%
Phoenix: $1,582
Average HH income
$123,081 +60%
Phoenix: $77,041
Poverty rate
6.7% -53%
Phoenix: 14.3%
Renter share
32.1% -25%
Phoenix: 42.7%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Arcadia and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 5 tracts span score 3–3.6

Why Arcadia scores 3.1

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.2–2.2 across tracts
2.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.1–5.1 across tracts
5.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 2.5–5.5 across tracts
4.9
Rent control risk
38% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.5–3.0 across tracts
2.9
Tenant organizing strength
32% renter households · Range 1.5–4.5 across tracts
3.9
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 2.0–3.0 across tracts
2.8
Economic stress
6.7% below poverty line · Range 1.0–3.8 across tracts
1.9
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.3–5.0 across tracts
2.7
Risk score comparison

Arcadia vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Arcadia score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Arcadia: 3.13.1ArcadiaNeighborhoodParent city: 3.63.6Parent cityhost cityState: 3.63.6Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Arcadia?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 0.6 points from 3 to 3.6. Tracts are relatively uniform, so conditions feel similar throughout the neighborhood.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

5 tracts in Arcadia

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
04013107900 3.6 3,835 49% $1,466
04013111100 3 4,997 48% $1,237
04013217400 3 3,434 45% $1,351
04013108000 3 2,843 0%
04013108100 3 2,249 34% $1,919
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 35

Pop-weighted across 5 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 25%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 37%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 29%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 57%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Arcadia

Aggregated across 5 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,971Total filings (sum)
  • 16.73%Avg annual filing rate
  • 40.2%Peak year (2005)
  • 18.92%Latest filed (2005)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Arcadia

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Arcadia

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Arcadia?

Arcadia scores 3.1/10 (Lower tier) across 5 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Arcadia compare to Phoenix overall?

Arcadia scores 0.5 points lower than Phoenix overall (3.6/10). Renters spend 38% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $1,196 vs $1,582.
Q3

What is the average rent in Arcadia?

Average gross rent in Arcadia is $1,196/month (pop-weighted across 5 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Arcadia residents are renters?

32% of Arcadia households are renter-occupied (vs 43% in Phoenix). The neighborhood has 17,358 residents.
Q5

Is Arcadia a high social-vulnerability area?

Arcadia sits in the 35th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Arcadia have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Arcadia is census tract 04013107900 (score 3.6/10). Across the 5 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3 to 3.6, a spread of 0.6 points.
Q7

How safe is Arcadia for landlords?

Arcadia carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.1/10). Pop-weighted across 5 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Phoenix as a whole (3.6/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Arcadia?

Arcadia has 16,993 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (81.2%), Hispanic / Latino (10.1%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (3.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Arcadia

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Phoenix

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Arcadia.

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