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Neighborhood · Ranked #46,312 of 84,120 nationally

Triple Crown Eviction Risk: Lower , Phoenix

Tract 04013619700 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 3,257 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

The Moderate-tier score of 4.8/10 for census tract 04013619700 reflects conditions in the Triple Crown area of Phoenix, Arizona. That is riskier than about 33% of US census tracts.

31% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a high level, and 25% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,705 a month against an average household income of $94,716 a year, roughly 22% of income at the averages. Renters make up 51% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
3.7
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16% Stable renters 35% Owners 49%
Tract context
Occupied units1,275
Renter share50.5%
SVI overall0.63
Poverty rate11.0%
Median income$94,716

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In Triple Crown
Very High
Within parent city
34 th percentile
Rank, 34th percentileLowHigh
#249 of 379 tracts In Phoenix
Low
Within county
62 th percentile
Rank, 62nd percentileLowHigh
#384 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Elevated
Within state
54 th percentile
Rank, 54th percentileLowHigh
#812 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Phoenix and the region

Centroid at 33.6516, -111.9868 · click any tract to drill in

Why Triple Crown scores 3.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Phoenix
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
11.0% poverty · this tract
2.7
Supply constraint
$1,705 rent vs county FMR
3.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Phoenix
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Phoenix
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Phoenix
3.0

How Triple Crown compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Triple Crown risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.73.7This tracttract 619700Phoenix: 2.82.8Phoenixparent cityCounty: 3.33.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.63.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 63

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 234Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 10.54%Avg annual filing rate
  • 14.8%Peak (2004)
  • 62Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2005
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040136197002001: 42 filings (10.05/100 renter HHs)2002: 37 filings (8.85/100 renter HHs)2003: 31 filings (7.42/100 renter HHs)2004: 62 filings (14.83/100 renter HHs)2005: 62 filings (11.57/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 48% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Triple Crown. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Triple Crown

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 4.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Phoenix eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Maricopa County average of 5.1 and in line with the Arizona statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 10.1% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 5.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 63rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013619700

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013619700?

Census tract 04013619700 in the Triple Crown neighborhood scores 3.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013619700?

Median gross rent is $1,705/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 31% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013619700?

11.0% of residents in tract 04013619700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,257.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013619700?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 63th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 72th, household 52th, minority 51th, housing 49th.
Q5

Is tract 04013619700 considered part of Triple Crown?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013619700 fall within Triple Crown (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013619700?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 234 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013619700 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 10.54% of renter households, peaking at 14.8% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 04013619700 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 04013619700 compare to Phoenix overall?

Tract 04013619700 scores 3.7/10, higher than the parent city of Phoenix at 2.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Phoenix eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Phoenix

Top eight tracts in Phoenix ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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