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Neighborhood · Ranked #41,206 of 84,120 nationally

Tuscano Eviction Risk: Moderate , Phoenix

Tract 04013112518 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 5,169 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

With a score of 4.5/10, tract 04013112518 in the Tuscano area of Phoenix, AZ reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 5,169 residents. Severe burden reaches 36%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score
4.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9% Stable renters 7% Owners 84%
Tract context
Occupied units1,422
Renter share16.5%
SVI overall0.52
Poverty rate22.1%
Median income$98,992

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In Tuscano
Very High
Within parent city
61 th percentile
Rank, 61st percentileLowHigh
#150 of 379 tracts In Phoenix
Elevated
Within county
74 th percentile
Rank, 74th percentileLowHigh
#267 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Elevated
Within state
73 th percentile
Rank, 73rd percentileLowHigh
#471 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Phoenix and the region

Centroid at 33.4026, -112.2192 · click any tract to drill in

Why Tuscano scores 4.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Phoenix
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
22.1% poverty · this tract
5.5
Supply constraint
$2,046 rent vs county FMR
5.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Phoenix
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Phoenix
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Phoenix
3.0

How Tuscano compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Tuscano risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.54.5This tracttract 112518Phoenix: 3.63.6Phoenixparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 52

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Tuscano. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Tuscano

Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10.

Cost burden runs 57% here against 46.0% across Maricopa County. At $2,046 a month, rents run 29% over what the rest of Phoenix commands.

Running cool, state political climate reads 2.2/10. Adults with no health insurance runs 22.7% against 11.3% nationally. The poverty rate is 22%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

Food insecurity runs 26.6% against 17.8% nationally. Against the Maricopa County average of 3.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.8 points.

Nationally it ranks #41,206 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Only 16% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 5.7/10.

Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $98,992.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013112518

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013112518?

Census tract 04013112518 in the Tuscano neighborhood scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013112518?

Median gross rent is $2,046/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013112518?

22.1% of residents in tract 04013112518 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,169.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013112518?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 52th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 59th, household 31th, minority 90th, housing 36th.
Q5

Is tract 04013112518 considered part of Tuscano?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013112518 fall within Tuscano (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 04013112518 struggle to pay rent?

About 20.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 04013112518 compare to Phoenix overall?

Tract 04013112518 scores 4.5/10, higher than the parent city of Phoenix at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Phoenix eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Phoenix

Top eight tracts in Phoenix ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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