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Neighborhood · Ranked #44,543 of 84,120 nationally

Verde Real Eviction Risk: Lower , Phoenix

Tract 04013104218 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 3,807 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

Census tract 04013104218 belongs to the Verde Real area of Phoenix, Arizona. It is home to 3,807 residents and scores $1/10, a moderate reading for landlords. It lands near the 40th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

39% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a high level, and 11% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,640 monthly, set against $79,427 in average yearly household income, roughly 25% of income at the averages. Renters make up 45% of occupied homes.

Risk score
3.8
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17% Stable renters 27% Owners 56%
Tract context
Occupied units1,519
Renter share44.9%
SVI overall0.58
Poverty rate9.5%
Median income$79,427

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 3 tracts In Verde Real
Moderate
Within parent city
39 th percentile
Rank, 39th percentileLowHigh
#230 of 379 tracts In Phoenix
Low
Within county
66 th percentile
Rank, 66th percentileLowHigh
#341 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Elevated
Within state
57 th percentile
Rank, 57th percentileLowHigh
#769 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Phoenix and the region

Centroid at 33.6179, -112.1598 · click any tract to drill in

Why Verde Real scores 3.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Phoenix
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
9.5% poverty · this tract
2.4
Supply constraint
$1,640 rent vs county FMR
3.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Phoenix
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Phoenix
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Phoenix
3.0

How Verde Real compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Verde Real risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.83.8This tracttract 104218Phoenix: 2.82.8Phoenixparent cityCounty: 3.33.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.63.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 58

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 622Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 18.30%Avg annual filing rate
  • 22.9%Peak (2005)
  • 152Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2005
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040131042182001: 111 filings (16.20/100 renter HHs)2002: 125 filings (18.25/100 renter HHs)2003: 110 filings (16.06/100 renter HHs)2004: 124 filings (18.10/100 renter HHs)2005: 152 filings (22.89/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 37% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Verde Real. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Verde Real

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 4.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Phoenix eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Maricopa County average of 5.1 and in line with the Arizona statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 11.9% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 6.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 622 eviction filings here over 5 tracked years, with about 18.3% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 22.9% of renter households in 2005.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013104218

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013104218?

Census tract 04013104218 in the Verde Real neighborhood scores 3.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013104218?

Median gross rent is $1,640/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 39% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013104218?

9.5% of residents in tract 04013104218 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,807.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013104218?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 58th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 55th, household 71th, minority 61th, housing 41th.
Q5

Is tract 04013104218 considered part of Verde Real?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013104218 fall within Verde Real (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013104218?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 622 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013104218 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 18.30% of renter households, peaking at 22.9% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 04013104218 struggle to pay rent?

About 11.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 04013104218 compare to Phoenix overall?

Tract 04013104218 scores 3.8/10, higher than the parent city of Phoenix at 2.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Phoenix eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Phoenix

Top eight tracts in Phoenix ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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