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Neighborhood · Ranked #41,206 of 84,120 nationally

Windsor Square Eviction Risk: Moderate , Phoenix

Tract 04013108602 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 6,667 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

With a score of 4.5/10, tract 04013108602 in the Windsor Square area of Phoenix, AZ reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 6,667 residents. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.

Risk score
4.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 42% Stable renters 35% Owners 23%
Tract context
Occupied units3,422
Renter share77.2%
SVI overall0.78
Poverty rate11.8%
Median income$58,013

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
80 th percentile
Rank, 80th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 11 tracts In Windsor Square
High
Within parent city
60 th percentile
Rank, 60th percentileLowHigh
#151 of 379 tracts In Phoenix
Elevated
Within county
74 th percentile
Rank, 74th percentileLowHigh
#264 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Elevated
Within state
73 th percentile
Rank, 73rd percentileLowHigh
#471 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Phoenix and the region

Centroid at 33.5042, -112.0541 · click any tract to drill in

Why Windsor Square scores 4.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Phoenix
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
11.8% poverty · this tract
2.9
Supply constraint
$1,507 rent vs county FMR
2.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Phoenix
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Phoenix
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Phoenix
3.0

How Windsor Square compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Windsor Square risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.54.5This tracttract 108602Phoenix: 3.63.6Phoenixparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 78

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,195Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 16.52%Avg annual filing rate
  • 19.3%Peak (2001)
  • 232Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2005
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040131086022001: 282 filings (19.33/100 renter HHs)2002: 228 filings (15.63/100 renter HHs)2003: 203 filings (13.91/100 renter HHs)2004: 250 filings (17.14/100 renter HHs)2005: 232 filings (16.58/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 18% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Windsor Square. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Windsor Square

On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. 77% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

The severe-burden share is 23%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Cost burden runs 55% here against 46.0% across Maricopa County. On the softer side, state political climate reads 2.2/10.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,195 filings here across 5 tracked years. Against the Maricopa County average of 3.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.8 points. Filings peaked in 2001 at 19.3% of renter households.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 16.5% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #41,206 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013108602

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013108602?

Census tract 04013108602 in the Windsor Square neighborhood scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013108602?

Median gross rent is $1,507/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013108602?

11.8% of residents in tract 04013108602 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,667.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013108602?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 78th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 84th, household 36th, minority 73th, housing 75th.
Q5

Is tract 04013108602 considered part of Windsor Square?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013108602 fall within Windsor Square (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013108602?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,195 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013108602 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 16.52% of renter households, peaking at 19.3% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 04013108602 struggle to pay rent?

About 16.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 04013108602 compare to Phoenix overall?

Tract 04013108602 scores 4.5/10, higher than the parent city of Phoenix at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Phoenix eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 04013108602 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Phoenix

Top eight tracts in Phoenix ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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