Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Carefree Foothills Eviction Risk: Lower , Scottsdale
Tract 04013613100 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 2,822 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
With a score of 3/10, tract 04013613100 in the Carefree Foothills area of Scottsdale, AZ reads lower for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,822. The severe-burden share is 57%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 2%
Stable renters 1%
Owners 97%
Tract context
Occupied units1,482
Renter share3.2%
SVI overall0.09
Poverty rate6.3%
Median income$118,278
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
28
th percentile
Low
Within county
12
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
40
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Scottsdale and the region
Centroid at 33.7891, -111.9405 · click any tract to drill in
Why Carefree Foothills scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Scottsdale
2.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
6.3% poverty · this tract
1.6
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Scottsdale
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Scottsdale
1.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Scottsdale
2.0
How Carefree Foothills compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 9
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 17%Socioeconomic
- 47%Household composition
- 28%Racial/ethnic minority
- 4%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 8Total filings over 5 yrs
- 2.92%Avg annual filing rate
- 3.6%Peak (2003)
- 2Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 100% over the past 5 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 2.9%Housing insecurity
- 1.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 4.2%Food insecurity
- 2.7%SNAP enrollment
- 2.8%Transit barriers
- 3.9%No health insurance
- 8.4%Frequent mental distress
- 27.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Carefree Foothills
Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10.
Cost burden runs 57% here against 46.0% across Maricopa County. Well under the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 1.5/10.
Food insecurity runs 4.2% against 17.8% nationally. Housing insecurity runs 2.9% against 14.2% nationally.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 8 filings here across 5 tracked years. It sits 0.7 points below the Maricopa County average of 3.7. Filings peaked in 2003 at 3.6% of renter households.
In a typical year about 2.9% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 3% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 04013613100
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013613100?
Census tract 04013613100 in the Carefree Foothills neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013613100?
6.3% of residents in tract 04013613100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,822.
Q3
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013613100?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 9th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 17th, household 47th, minority 28th, housing 4th.
Q4
Is tract 04013613100 considered part of Carefree Foothills?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013613100 fall within Carefree Foothills (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013613100?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 8 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013613100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.92% of renter households, peaking at 3.6% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 04013613100 struggle to pay rent?
About 2.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 1.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 04013613100 compare to Scottsdale overall?
Tract 04013613100 scores 3/10, right in line with the parent city of Scottsdale at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Scottsdale eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Scottsdale
Top eight tracts in Scottsdale ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
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Downtown Scottsdale
4.1
/ 10 · Moderate
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4
/ 10 · Moderate
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Gainey Ranch
3.8
/ 10 · Low
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04013217700
3.7
/ 10 · Low
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Shiloh Canyon
3.4
/ 10 · Low
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3.4
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
Santo Tomas
3.3
/ 10 · Low
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