Neighborhood · Surprise, AZ

Sarah Ann Ranch Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 6,938 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 1.5/10 · range 1.5–1.5

Sarah Ann Ranch is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Surprise with 1 census tract and a population of 6,938 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 1.5/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 44% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 18% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,825/month sits 10% lower than the Surprise citywide average ($2,033).

Risk score

1.5

Lower

1 tracts · population-weighted

Sarah Ann Ranch vs Surprise How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

43.9% +36%

Surprise: 32.2%

Average gross rent

$1,825 -10%

Surprise: $2,033

Average HH income

$111,925 +20%

Surprise: $93,371

Poverty rate

1.2% -85%

Surprise: 7.8%

Renter share

11.7% -44%

Surprise: 20.9%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Sarah Ann Ranch and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 1.5–1.5

Why Sarah Ann Ranch scores 1.5

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 2.2–2.2 across tracts

2.2

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.1–5.1 across tracts

5.1

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts

2.5

Rent control risk

44% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts

1.0

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts

2.5

Tenant organizing strength

12% renter households · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts

1.5

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts

2.0

Economic stress

1.2% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts

1.0

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 4.4–4.4 across tracts

4.4

Risk score comparison

Sarah Ann Ranch vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Census tracts

1 tracts in Sarah Ann Ranch

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
04013061031	1.5	6,938	44%	$1,825

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 34

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 23%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 28%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 60%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 53%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Sarah Ann Ranch

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

10.0%Housing insecurity
5.8%Utility shutoff threat
12.0%Food insecurity
8.1%SNAP enrollment
9.3%No health insurance
25.7%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Sarah Ann Ranch

What is the eviction-risk score for Sarah Ann Ranch?

Sarah Ann Ranch scores 1.5/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Sarah Ann Ranch compare to Surprise overall?

Sarah Ann Ranch scores 0.9 points lower than Surprise overall (2.4/10). Renters spend 44% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $1,825 vs $2,033.

What is the average rent in Sarah Ann Ranch?

Average gross rent in Sarah Ann Ranch is $1,825/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Sarah Ann Ranch residents are renters?

12% of Sarah Ann Ranch households are renter-occupied (vs 21% in Surprise). The neighborhood has 6,938 residents.

Is Sarah Ann Ranch a high social-vulnerability area?

Sarah Ann Ranch sits in the 34th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

How safe is Sarah Ann Ranch for landlords?

Sarah Ann Ranch carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (1.5/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Surprise as a whole (2.4/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Sarah Ann Ranch?

Sarah Ann Ranch has 8,177 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (64.3%), Hispanic / Latino (20.8%), Other / Multiracial (6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Sarah Ann Ranch

1.8 Sierra Montana 3 tracts · pop 16,115 2.4 Acoma Court 2 tracts · pop 12,271 2.4 Bell West Ranch 2 tracts · pop 10,747 2.1 Sanalina 2 tracts · pop 11,617 2.2 Veramonte 2 tracts · pop 10,712 2.2 Kingswood Parke 2 tracts · pop 6,961

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Surprise

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Sarah Ann Ranch.

1.5 Windstone Ranch 1 tracts · pop 4,482 1.7 Sierra Montana 3 tracts · pop 16,115 1.7 Happy Trails Resort 1 tracts · pop 4,948 1.2 Prasada 1 tracts · pop 4,973 2.1 Sanalina 2 tracts · pop 11,617 2.1 Veramonte 2 tracts · pop 10,712

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