1 census tracts · pop 6,938 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3/10
· range 3–3
Sarah Ann Ranch maps to a single census tract in Surprise, AZ, population 6,938. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 3/10, in the Lower tier. Against a Surprise baseline of 32.2%, 44% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.
The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10. On the softer side is economic stress, at 1/10. Running cool is tenant-organizing strength, at 1.5/10.
Severe burden reaches 18%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. At $1,825 a month, rents sit 10% under what the rest of Surprise commands. Among the 16 mapped neighborhoods of Surprise, it ranks #9 by risk, the middle third.
At 12% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out. The closest comparables inside the same city are Sanalina and Ashton Ranch.
Rent takes 20% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market. Poverty sits at 1%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.
One tract means one number: 3/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
3
Lower
1 tracts · population-weighted
Sarah Ann Ranch vs SurpriseHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority60%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport53%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Sarah Ann Ranch
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
10.0%Housing insecurity
5.8%Utility shutoff threat
12.0%Food insecurity
8.1%SNAP enrollment
9.3%No health insurance
25.7%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Sarah Ann Ranch
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Sarah Ann Ranch?
Sarah Ann Ranch scores 3/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Sarah Ann Ranch compare to Surprise overall?
Sarah Ann Ranch scores 0.2 points lower than Surprise overall (3.2/10). Renters spend 44% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $1,825 vs $2,033.
Q3
What is the average rent in Sarah Ann Ranch?
Average gross rent in Sarah Ann Ranch is $1,825/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Sarah Ann Ranch residents are renters?
12% of Sarah Ann Ranch households are renter-occupied (vs 21% in Surprise). The neighborhood has 6,938 residents.
Q5
Is Sarah Ann Ranch a high social-vulnerability area?
Sarah Ann Ranch sits in the 34th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
How safe is Sarah Ann Ranch for landlords?
Sarah Ann Ranch carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Surprise as a whole (3.2/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q7
What is the demographic breakdown of Sarah Ann Ranch?
Sarah Ann Ranch has 8,177 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (64.3%), Hispanic / Latino (20.8%), Other / Multiracial (6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
