Sierra Montana Eviction Risk: Lower , Surprise

Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1/10.

On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. 21% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

The voucher gap is 26.8%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. At $2,472 a month, rents run 22% over what the rest of Surprise commands.

SNAP participation runs 7.3% against 15.2% nationally. It sits 0.7 points below the Maricopa County average of 3.7. On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

At 14% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. Social vulnerability reads 3.4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 1%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.