Surprise Original Townsite Eviction Risk: Lower

Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. On the softer side, economic stress reads 1.1/10.

Court records carry 103 eviction filings across 4 observed years. The severe-burden share is 9%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

It sits 0.7 points below the Maricopa County average of 3.7. The worst year on record was 2005, when 50.1% of renter households were served.

In a typical year about 550.5% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.