Neighborhood · Tucson, AZ

Silvercroft Eviction Risk: Moderate

3 census tracts · pop 10,071 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.1/10 · range 3.6–4.6

Silvercroft spans 3 census tracts of Tucson, AZ and houses 10,071 people. Scored across those inputs it reaches 4.1/10, placing it in the Moderate tier. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure, at 1.5/10.

The 3 tracts inside this boundary do not behave alike. Individual scores run 3.6 to 4.6, a 1-point gap wide enough that the area average misleads on any specific address. Severe burden reaches 12%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.

Filings are well documented here: 1,695 across 3 observed tracts. 29% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, marginally below the Tucson rate of 32.8%. Filing activity peaked in 2013 at 20.8% of renter households.

At $1,261 a month, rents sit 10% over what the rest of Tucson commands. The most recent observed rate, 6.0% in 2017, is well off that peak. Among the 32 mapped neighborhoods of Tucson, it ranks #28 by risk, the lower third.

For a like-for-like read, Broadmoor-Broadway and Sam Hughes score within a fraction of it. Social vulnerability runs high at 8.3/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.

Annual rent works out to 22% of average household income of $67,803. 43% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Underwrite the address, not the area: with 1 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score

4.1

Moderate

3 tracts · population-weighted

Silvercroft vs Tucson How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

29.1% -11%

Tucson: 32.8%

Average gross rent

$1,261 +10%

Tucson: $1,145

Average HH income

$67,803 +24%

Tucson: $54,546

Poverty rate

15.1% -20%

Tucson: 18.8%

Renter share

42.9% -11%

Tucson: 48.2%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Silvercroft and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 3.6–4.6

Why Silvercroft scores 4.1

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 2.2–2.2 across tracts

2.2

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.9–5.9 across tracts

5.9

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts

7.0

Rent control risk

29% of income on rent · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts

1.5

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts

4.0

Tenant organizing strength

43% renter households · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts

5.5

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts

4.5

Economic stress

15.1% below poverty line · Range 3.0–4.4 across tracts

3.8

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.6–5.6 across tracts

4.2

Risk score comparison

Silvercroft vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Silvercroft?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution

0246810

Spread of 1 points from 3.6 to 4.6. Tracts are relatively uniform, so conditions feel similar throughout the neighborhood.

Tracts as heat grid

4.6 4.1 3.6

Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.

Census tracts

3 tracts in Silvercroft

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
04019001200	4.6	3,636	26%	$1,044
04019004413	4.1	3,280	27%	$1,461
04019004414	3.6	3,155	35%	$1,304

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 81

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 76%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 82%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 76%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 72%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Silvercroft

Aggregated across 3 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

1,695Total filings (sum)
9.20%Avg annual filing rate
20.8%Peak year (2013)
5.92%Latest filed (2017)

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Silvercroft

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

13.6%Housing insecurity
8.8%Utility shutoff threat
17.6%Food insecurity
12.4%SNAP enrollment
15.3%No health insurance
33.3%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Silvercroft

What is the eviction-risk score for Silvercroft?

Silvercroft scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Silvercroft compare to Tucson overall?

Silvercroft scores 0.3 points higher than Tucson overall (3.8/10). Renters spend 29% of income on rent vs 33% citywide. Average rent: $1,261 vs $1,145.

What is the average rent in Silvercroft?

Average gross rent in Silvercroft is $1,261/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 29% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Silvercroft residents are renters?

43% of Silvercroft households are renter-occupied (vs 48% in Tucson). The neighborhood has 10,071 residents.

Is Silvercroft a high social-vulnerability area?

Silvercroft sits in the 81st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in Silvercroft have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Silvercroft is census tract 04019001200 (score 4.6/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.6 to 4.6, a spread of 1 points.

How safe is Silvercroft for landlords?

Silvercroft carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.1/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Tucson as a whole (3.8/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.

What is the demographic breakdown of Silvercroft?

Silvercroft has 10,026 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (55.4%), White (non-Hispanic) (33.5%), Other / Multiracial (6.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Silvercroft

5.3 Flowing Wells 4 tracts · pop 14,770 4.7 Barrio Hollywood 3 tracts · pop 8,430 5.2 Keeling 2 tracts · pop 8,091 5.2 West University 2 tracts · pop 5,962 5.2 Amphitheater 4 tracts · pop 18,031 5.9 Barrio Viejo 2 tracts · pop 7,984

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Tucson

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Silvercroft.

4 Broadmoor-Broadway 1 tracts · pop 3,577 4.2 Sam Hughes 1 tracts · pop 4,827 4.2 El Gheko 3 tracts · pop 11,905 4.3 Palo Verde Park 6 tracts · pop 23,424 4.5 Twelve Hundred River Condominums 3 tracts · pop 10,105 4.6 Broadway Northeast 4 tracts · pop 12,779

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