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Neighborhood · Tucson, AZ

Emery Park Eviction Risk: Moderate

8 census tracts · pop 40,254 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5/10 · range 4–5.2

Emery Park spans 8 census tracts of Tucson, AZ and houses 40,254 people. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 5/10, Moderate tier. Against a Tucson baseline of 32.8%, 44% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.

The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure, at 1.5/10. 21% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate.

Food insecurity affects 34.4% of adults, 16.6 points above the national rate. The poverty rate is 24%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Running cool is supply constraint, at 2.2/10. CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 24.6% of adults, against 14.2% nationally.

Scores across the 8 constituent tracts range from 4 to 5.2. A 1.2-point internal spread means block-level underwriting beats area-level here. Court records carry 12,057 eviction filings across its 8 observed tracts. Average gross rent is $988, 14% below the Tucson average of $1,145.

The worst year on record was 2017, when filings touched 129.1% of renter households. That places it #15 of 32 neighborhoods in Tucson. Judgments average 13.3% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order.

For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 5 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
5
Moderate
8 tracts · population-weighted
Emery Park vs Tucson How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
44.2% +35%
Tucson: 32.8%
Average gross rent
$988 -14%
Tucson: $1,145
Average HH income
$48,480 -11%
Tucson: $54,546
Poverty rate
23.6% +25%
Tucson: 18.8%
Renter share
48.0% 0%
Tucson: 48.2%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Emery Park and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 8 tracts span score 4–5.2

Why Emery Park scores 5

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.2–2.2 across tracts
2.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.9–5.9 across tracts
5.9
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts
7.0
Rent control risk
44% of income on rent · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
48% renter households · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Economic stress
23.6% below poverty line · Range 2.8–9.1 across tracts
5.9
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.3–4.6 across tracts
2.2
Risk score comparison

Emery Park vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Emery Park score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Emery Park: 5.05.0Emery ParkNeighborhoodParent city: 3.83.8Parent cityhost cityState: 3.63.6Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Emery Park?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 1.2 points from 4 to 5.2. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

8 tracts in Emery Park

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
04019003702 5.2 7,896 49% $1,029
04019003706 5.2 6,613 45% $871
04019003705 5.2 5,236 44% $936
04019003704 5.2 4,510 30% $931
04019003802 5.1 5,433 46% $897
04019003707 4.8 3,771 50% $921
04019004122 4.7 4,153 48% $1,323
04019004110 4 2,642 33% $1,111
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 95

Pop-weighted across 8 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 95%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 87%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 93%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 81%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Emery Park

Aggregated across 8 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 12,057Total filings (sum)
  • 22.46%Avg annual filing rate
  • 129.1%Peak year (2017)
  • 16.82%Latest filed (2017)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Emery Park

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Emery Park

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Emery Park?

Emery Park scores 5/10 (Moderate tier) across 8 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Emery Park compare to Tucson overall?

Emery Park scores 1.2 points higher than Tucson overall (3.8/10). Renters spend 44% of income on rent vs 33% citywide. Average rent: $988 vs $1,145.
Q3

What is the average rent in Emery Park?

Average gross rent in Emery Park is $988/month (pop-weighted across 8 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Emery Park residents are renters?

48% of Emery Park households are renter-occupied (vs 48% in Tucson). The neighborhood has 40,254 residents.
Q5

Is Emery Park a high social-vulnerability area?

Emery Park sits in the 95th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Emery Park have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Emery Park is census tract 04019003702 (score 5.2/10). Across the 8 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4 to 5.2, a spread of 1.2 points.
Q7

How safe is Emery Park for landlords?

Emery Park carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5/10). Pop-weighted across 8 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Tucson as a whole (3.8/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Emery Park?

Emery Park has 39,282 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (86.3%), White (non-Hispanic) (7.4%), Other / Multiracial (3.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Emery Park

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Tucson

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Emery Park.

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