Arroyo Chico Eviction Risk: Moderate , Tucson
Tract 04019000700 · Pima, AZ · pop 5,658 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
With a score of 5.9/10, tract 04019000700 in Arroyo Chico in Tucson ranks in the Moderate tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 5,658 residents. That is riskier than about 73% of US census tracts.
About 68% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 21% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,187 a month while the average household earns $60,810 a year, roughly 23% of income at the averages. Renters make up 56% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Tucson and the region
Centroid at 32.2162, -110.9386 · click any tract to drill in
Why Arroyo Chico scores 4.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Arroyo Chico compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 78
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 82%Socioeconomic
- 40%Household composition
- 70%Racial/ethnic minority
- 77%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 704Total filings over 12 yrs
- 5.78%Avg annual filing rate
- 6.6%Peak (2013)
- 60Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Arroyo Chico. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.3%Housing insecurity
- 6.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 12.9%Food insecurity
- 8.8%SNAP enrollment
- 8.0%Transit barriers
- 11.8%No health insurance
- 15.8%Frequent mental distress
- 30.5%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Arroyo Chico
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 5.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Tucson eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Pima County average of 5.5 and above the Arizona statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 10.3% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 6.8% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 78th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
About tract 04019000700
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04019000700?
What is the average rent in tract 04019000700?
What is the poverty rate in tract 04019000700?
How socially vulnerable is tract 04019000700?
Is tract 04019000700 considered part of Arroyo Chico?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04019000700?
What share of households in tract 04019000700 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 04019000700 compare to Tucson overall?
Highest-risk tracts in Tucson
Top eight tracts in Tucson ranked by composite eviction-risk score.