5 census tracts · pop 18,675 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.7/10
· range 3–5.2
Poet's Square spans 5 census tracts of Tucson, AZ, population 18,675. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 4.7/10, in the Moderate tier. Cost burden runs 44% against 32.8% citywide, putting Poet's Square 11.4% over its own city.
The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure, at 1.5/10. Internally this is not one market. Tract scores span 3 to 5.2, so two buildings inside the same boundary can carry materially different risk. The severe-burden share is 18%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay.
Running cool is supply constraint, at 2.4/10. The poverty rate is 20%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
Court records carry 3,580 eviction filings across its 3 observed tracts. Average gross rent is $1,009, 12% below the Tucson average of $1,145. The worst year on record was 2008, when filings touched 27.1% of renter households.
The most recent observed rate, 7.3% in 2017, is well off that peak. Among the 32 mapped neighborhoods of Tucson, it ranks #21 by risk, the middle third. For a like-for-like read, Arroyo Chico and Vandenberg Village score within a fraction of it.
Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $56,617. 52% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 4.7 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
4.7
Moderate
5 tracts · population-weighted
Poet's Square vs TucsonHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority67%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport65%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Poet's Square
Aggregated across 3 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
3,580Total filings (sum)
10.05%Avg annual filing rate
27.1%Peak year (2008)
6.83%Latest filed (2017)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Poet's Square
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
12.5%Housing insecurity
9.4%Utility shutoff threat
16.7%Food insecurity
14.0%SNAP enrollment
11.8%No health insurance
34.4%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Poet's Square
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Poet's Square?
Poet's Square scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier) across 5 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Poet's Square compare to Tucson overall?
Poet's Square scores 0.9 points higher than Tucson overall (3.8/10). Renters spend 44% of income on rent vs 33% citywide. Average rent: $1,009 vs $1,145.
Q3
What is the average rent in Poet's Square?
Average gross rent in Poet's Square is $1,009/month (pop-weighted across 5 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Poet's Square residents are renters?
52% of Poet's Square households are renter-occupied (vs 48% in Tucson). The neighborhood has 18,675 residents.
Q5
Is Poet's Square a high social-vulnerability area?
Poet's Square sits in the 66th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Poet's Square have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Poet's Square is census tract 04019003102 (score 5.2/10). Across the 5 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3 to 5.2, a spread of 2.2 points.
Q7
How safe is Poet's Square for landlords?
Poet's Square carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.7/10). Pop-weighted across 5 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Tucson as a whole (3.8/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Poet's Square?
Poet's Square has 18,635 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (52.2%), Hispanic / Latino (34.1%), Other / Multiracial (7.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
