Neighborhood · Tucson, AZ

Poet's Square Eviction Risk: Moderate

5 census tracts · pop 18,675 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.1/10 · range 3.8–5.7

Poet's Square is a white-hispanic neighborhood in Tucson with 5 census tracts and a population of 18,675 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 5.1/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 44% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 18% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,009/month sits 12% lower than the Tucson citywide average ($1,145).

Risk score

5.1

Moderate

5 tracts · population-weighted

Poet's Square vs Tucson How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

44.2% +35%

Tucson: 32.8%

Average gross rent

$1,009 -12%

Tucson: $1,145

Average HH income

$56,617 +4%

Tucson: $54,546

Poverty rate

20.0% +6%

Tucson: 18.8%

Renter share

52.2% +8%

Tucson: 48.2%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Poet's Square and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 5 tracts span score 3.8–5.7

Why Poet's Square scores 5.1

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 2.2–2.2 across tracts

2.2

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.9–5.9 across tracts

5.9

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts

7.0

Rent control risk

44% of income on rent · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts

1.5

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts

4.0

Tenant organizing strength

52% renter households · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts

5.5

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts

4.5

Economic stress

20.0% below poverty line · Range 2.2–5.9 across tracts

5.0

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–3.3 across tracts

2.4

Risk score comparison

Poet's Square vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Poet's Square?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution

0246810

Spread of 1.9 points from 3.8 to 5.7. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.

Tracts as heat grid

5.7 5.5 5.2 5.0 3.8

Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.

Census tracts

5 tracts in Poet's Square

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
04019003102	5.7	3,783	48%	$792
04019003103	5.5	2,535	51%	$921
04019003400	5.2	5,865	39%	$1,146
04019003304	5	3,319	53%	$988
04019003201	3.8	3,173	35%	$1,107

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 66

Pop-weighted across 5 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 62%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 55%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 67%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 65%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Poet's Square

Aggregated across 3 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

3,580Total filings (sum)
10.05%Avg annual filing rate
27.1%Peak year (2008)
6.83%Latest filed (2017)

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Poet's Square

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

12.5%Housing insecurity
9.4%Utility shutoff threat
16.7%Food insecurity
14.0%SNAP enrollment
11.8%No health insurance
34.4%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Poet's Square

What is the eviction-risk score for Poet's Square?

Poet's Square scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier) across 5 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Poet's Square compare to Tucson overall?

Poet's Square scores 1.9 points higher than Tucson overall (3.2/10). Renters spend 44% of income on rent vs 33% citywide. Average rent: $1,009 vs $1,145.

What is the average rent in Poet's Square?

Average gross rent in Poet's Square is $1,009/month (pop-weighted across 5 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Poet's Square residents are renters?

52% of Poet's Square households are renter-occupied (vs 48% in Tucson). The neighborhood has 18,675 residents.

Is Poet's Square a high social-vulnerability area?

Poet's Square sits in the 66th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in Poet's Square have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Poet's Square is census tract 04019003102 (score 5.7/10). Across the 5 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.8 to 5.7, a spread of 1.9 points.

How safe is Poet's Square for landlords?

Poet's Square carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.1/10). Pop-weighted across 5 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Tucson as a whole (3.2/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Poet's Square?

Poet's Square has 18,635 residents (White-Hispanic Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (52.2%), Hispanic / Latino (34.1%), Other / Multiracial (7.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Poet's Square

5.3 Palo Verde 6 tracts · pop 23,081 4.6 El Gheko 3 tracts · pop 11,905 4.7 Palo Verde Park 6 tracts · pop 23,424 5.5 Vandenberg Village 4 tracts · pop 16,347 3 Tanuri 2 tracts · pop 3,398 5 Arroyo Chico 2 tracts · pop 12,221

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Tucson

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Poet's Square.

5.1 Barrio San Antonio 1 tracts · pop 1,804 5.1 Twelve Hundred River Condominums 3 tracts · pop 10,105 5 Arroyo Chico 2 tracts · pop 12,221 5.3 Palo Verde 6 tracts · pop 23,081 4.8 Broadway Northeast 4 tracts · pop 12,779 5.4 Emery Park 8 tracts · pop 40,254

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