Palo Verde Eviction Risk: Moderate , Tucson

The dominant input is economic stress at 9.7/10. The severe-burden share is 28%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. The poverty rate is 39%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

At $748 a month, rents run 35% under what the rest of Tucson commands. Running cool, supply constraint reads 1/10. This is renter territory: 75% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

SNAP participation runs 30.8% against 15.2% nationally. On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. Food insecurity runs 30.4% against 17.8% nationally.

It sits 1.3 points above the Pima County average of 3.9. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 3,411 filings here across 12 tracked years. The worst year on record was 2007, when 22.5% of renter households were served.

In a typical year about 16.2% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 65th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

Social vulnerability reads 9.5/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the AZ average is 3.8, so this tract runs 1.4 points hotter.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.