Within parent city
25
th percentile
Low
Census Tract · Ranked #56,048 of 84,120 nationally
Tucson Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 04019004042 · Pima, AZ · pop 5,443
With a score of 3.6/10, tract 04019004042 in Tucson, AZ reads lower for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 5,443. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1.5/10.
Risk score
3.6
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 22%
Stable renters 23%
Owners 55%
Tract context
Occupied units2,626
Renter share44.5%
SVI overall0.37
Poverty rate11.1%
Median income$70,788
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
51
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
54
th percentile
Moderate
National
33
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Tucson and the region
Centroid at 32.2281, -110.7812 · click any tract to drill in
Why Tucson scores 3.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Tucson
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
11.1% poverty · this tract
2.8
Supply constraint
$1,294 rent vs county FMR
4.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tucson
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tucson
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tucson
4.5
How Tucson compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 37
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 35%Socioeconomic
- 22%Household composition
- 51%Racial/ethnic minority
- 53%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 743Total filings over 12 yrs
- 6.79%Avg annual filing rate
- 13.6%Peak (2004)
- 59Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 28% over the past 12 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.4%Housing insecurity
- 6.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 10.1%Food insecurity
- 7.4%SNAP enrollment
- 6.7%Transit barriers
- 8.0%No health insurance
- 16.1%Frequent mental distress
- 30.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Tucson
Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10. Severe burden reaches 16%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 2.2/10.
about half of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the Pima County average of 43.8%. Court records carry 743 eviction filings across 12 observed years. SNAP participation runs 7.4% against 15.2% nationally.
Food insecurity runs 10.1% against 17.8% nationally. Average gross rent is $1,294, 13% above the Tucson average.
The worst year on record was 2004, when 13.6% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 6.8% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 33rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 4.3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 04019004042
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04019004042?
Census tract 04019004042 in Tucson scores 3.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04019004042?
Median gross rent is $1,294/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04019004042?
11.1% of residents in tract 04019004042 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,443.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04019004042?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 37th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 35th, household 22th, minority 51th, housing 53th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04019004042?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 743 eviction filings across 12 validated years in tract 04019004042 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.79% of renter households, peaking at 13.6% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 04019004042 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 04019004042 compare to Tucson overall?
Tract 04019004042 scores 3.6/10, right in line with the parent city of Tucson at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tucson eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Tucson
Top eight tracts in Tucson ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AZ
Amphitheater
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Poet's Square
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Barrio Hollywood
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Emery Park
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Amphitheater
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Vandenberg Village
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Keeling
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Poet's Square
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
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