Tucson Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 04019004070 · Pima, AZ · pop 2,875
Tract 04019004070 sits in Tucson eviction risk, AZ, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.5/10. 25% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Tucson and the region
Centroid at 32.2138, -110.8106 · click any tract to drill in
Why Tucson scores 4.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Tucson compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 93
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 93%Socioeconomic
- 64%Household composition
- 59%Racial/ethnic minority
- 95%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,765Total filings over 12 yrs
- 21.60%Avg annual filing rate
- 43.6%Peak (2005)
- 107Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 15.3%Housing insecurity
- 11.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 21.1%Food insecurity
- 18.3%SNAP enrollment
- 12.6%Transit barriers
- 13.6%No health insurance
- 20.5%Frequent mental distress
- 37.7%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Tucson
Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1.5/10. 55% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Pima County average of 43.8%. 72% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.
Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 2.2/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,765 filings here across 12 tracked years.
It sits 0.6 points above the Pima County average of 3.9. The worst year on record was 2005, when 43.6% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 21.6% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 51% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9.3/10.
Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. Average gross rent is $1,078, close to the Tucson average. Annual rent works out to 30% of average household income of $43,584.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
About tract 04019004070
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04019004070?
What is the average rent in tract 04019004070?
What is the poverty rate in tract 04019004070?
How socially vulnerable is tract 04019004070?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04019004070?
What share of households in tract 04019004070 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 04019004070 compare to Tucson overall?
Highest-risk tracts in Tucson
Top eight tracts in Tucson ranked by composite eviction-risk score.