4 census tracts · pop 16,347 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.7/10
· range 3.4–5.2
Vandenberg Village spans 4 census tracts of Tucson, AZ, population 16,347. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 4.7/10, in the Moderate tier. Cost burden runs 58% against 32.8% citywide, putting Vandenberg Village 24.7% over its own city.
The severe-burden share is 28%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure, at 1.5/10.
Internally this is not one market. Tract scores span 3.4 to 5.2, so two buildings inside the same boundary can carry materially different risk. The poverty rate is 22%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest.
Court records carry 5,268 eviction filings across its 3 observed tracts. The worst year on record was 2013, when filings touched 33.4% of renter households. The most recent observed rate, 14.6% in 2017, is well off that peak.
Among the 32 mapped neighborhoods of Tucson, it ranks #21 by risk, the middle third. The closest comparables inside the same city are Arroyo Chico and Poet's Square. Social vulnerability runs high at 7.8/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.
Average gross rent runs $1,159, close to the Tucson average.
Underwrite the address, not the area: with 1.8 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
4.7
Moderate
4 tracts · population-weighted
Vandenberg Village vs TucsonHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority70%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport71%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Vandenberg Village
Aggregated across 3 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
5,268Total filings (sum)
18.16%Avg annual filing rate
33.4%Peak year (2013)
14.37%Latest filed (2017)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Vandenberg Village
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
17.6%Housing insecurity
12.8%Utility shutoff threat
23.8%Food insecurity
20.3%SNAP enrollment
15.8%No health insurance
37.1%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Vandenberg Village
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Vandenberg Village?
Vandenberg Village scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier) across 4 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Vandenberg Village compare to Tucson overall?
Vandenberg Village scores 0.9 points higher than Tucson overall (3.8/10). Renters spend 58% of income on rent vs 33% citywide. Average rent: $1,159 vs $1,145.
Q3
What is the average rent in Vandenberg Village?
Average gross rent in Vandenberg Village is $1,159/month (pop-weighted across 4 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Vandenberg Village residents are renters?
65% of Vandenberg Village households are renter-occupied (vs 48% in Tucson). The neighborhood has 16,347 residents.
Q5
Is Vandenberg Village a high social-vulnerability area?
Vandenberg Village sits in the 76th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Vandenberg Village have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Vandenberg Village is census tract 04019003503 (score 5.2/10). Across the 4 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.4 to 5.2, a spread of 1.8 points.
Q7
How safe is Vandenberg Village for landlords?
Vandenberg Village carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.7/10). Pop-weighted across 4 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Tucson as a whole (3.8/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Vandenberg Village?
Vandenberg Village has 16,933 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (44.3%), Hispanic / Latino (34.9%), Black (non-Hispanic) (9.8%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
