Neighborhood · Tucson, AZ

Vandenberg Village Eviction Risk: Moderate

4 census tracts · pop 16,347 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.4/10 · range 4–6.2

Vandenberg Village is a white-hispanic neighborhood in Tucson with 4 census tracts and a population of 16,347 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 5.4/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 58% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 28% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,159/month sits 1% higher than the Tucson citywide average ($1,145).

Risk score

5.4

Moderate

4 tracts · population-weighted

Vandenberg Village vs Tucson How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

57.5% +75%

Tucson: 32.8%

Average gross rent

$1,159 +1%

Tucson: $1,145

Average HH income

$46,932 -14%

Tucson: $54,546

Poverty rate

22.3% +18%

Tucson: 18.8%

Renter share

64.8% +35%

Tucson: 48.2%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Vandenberg Village and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 4 tracts span score 4–6.2

Why Vandenberg Village scores 5.4

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 2.2–2.2 across tracts

2.2

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.9–5.9 across tracts

5.9

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts

7.0

Rent control risk

58% of income on rent · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts

1.5

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts

4.0

Tenant organizing strength

65% renter households · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts

5.5

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts

4.5

Economic stress

22.3% below poverty line · Range 1.9–7.6 across tracts

5.6

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.7–6.5 across tracts

3.4

Risk score comparison

Vandenberg Village vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Vandenberg Village?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution

0246810

Spread of 2.2 points from 4 to 6.2. This neighborhood crosses multiple risk tiers, so block-by-block conditions vary substantially.

Tracts as heat grid

6.2 6.0 5.6 4.0

Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.

Census tracts

4 tracts in Vandenberg Village

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
04019003503	6.2	4,332	58%	$971
04019004033	6	4,128	62%	$922
04019004034	5.6	3,349	57%	$1,129
04019003601	4	4,538	53%	$1,575

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 76

Pop-weighted across 4 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 74%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 63%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 70%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 71%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Vandenberg Village

Aggregated across 3 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

5,268Total filings (sum)
18.16%Avg annual filing rate
33.4%Peak year (2013)
14.37%Latest filed (2017)

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Vandenberg Village

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

17.6%Housing insecurity
12.8%Utility shutoff threat
23.8%Food insecurity
20.3%SNAP enrollment
15.8%No health insurance
37.1%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Vandenberg Village

What is the eviction-risk score for Vandenberg Village?

Vandenberg Village scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier) across 4 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Vandenberg Village compare to Tucson overall?

Vandenberg Village scores 2.2 points higher than Tucson overall (3.2/10). Renters spend 58% of income on rent vs 33% citywide. Average rent: $1,159 vs $1,145.

What is the average rent in Vandenberg Village?

Average gross rent in Vandenberg Village is $1,159/month (pop-weighted across 4 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Vandenberg Village residents are renters?

65% of Vandenberg Village households are renter-occupied (vs 48% in Tucson). The neighborhood has 16,347 residents.

Is Vandenberg Village a high social-vulnerability area?

Vandenberg Village sits in the 76th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in Vandenberg Village have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Vandenberg Village is census tract 04019003503 (score 6.2/10). Across the 4 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4 to 6.2, a spread of 2.2 points.

How safe is Vandenberg Village for landlords?

Vandenberg Village carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.4/10). Pop-weighted across 4 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Tucson as a whole (3.2/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Vandenberg Village?

Vandenberg Village has 16,933 residents (White-Hispanic Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (44.3%), Hispanic / Latino (34.9%), Black (non-Hispanic) (9.8%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Vandenberg Village

4.7 Palo Verde Park 6 tracts · pop 23,424 5 Poet's Square 5 tracts · pop 18,675 4.6 El Gheko 3 tracts · pop 11,905 4.7 Broadway Northeast 4 tracts · pop 12,779 5 Arroyo Chico 2 tracts · pop 12,221 5.3 Palo Verde 6 tracts · pop 23,081

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Tucson

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Vandenberg Village.

5.4 Emery Park 8 tracts · pop 40,254 5.4 Samos 3 tracts · pop 12,024 5.5 Barrio Hollywood 3 tracts · pop 8,430 5.5 Dunbar Spring 1 tracts · pop 1,314 5.5 Flowing Wells 4 tracts · pop 14,770 5.3 Palo Verde 6 tracts · pop 23,081

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