Neighborhood · Maricopa, AZ

Villages at Rancho El Dorado Eviction Risk: Lower

3 census tracts · pop 18,884 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.3/10 · range 3–3.7

Villages at Rancho El Dorado spans 3 census tracts of Maricopa, AZ and houses 18,884 people. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 3.3/10, in the Lower tier. Cost burden runs around two-thirds against 31.0% citywide, putting Villages at Rancho El Dorado 33.3% over its own city.

Severe burden reaches 27%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. The main counterweight is economic stress, at 1.9/10.

On the softer side is eviction-process difficulty, at 2.4/10. Running hot is rent-regulation exposure at 7.1/10. Among the 7 mapped neighborhoods of Maricopa, it ranks #4 by risk, the middle third.

At 19% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out. For a like-for-like read, Sorrento and Santa Rosa Springs score within a fraction of it.

The 3 tracts here are tightly clustered, 0.7 points apart at the extremes. Average gross rent runs $1,961, close to the Maricopa average.

Annual rent works out to 23% of average household income of $101,451.

With little internal variation, 3.3/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score

3.3

Lower

3 tracts · population-weighted

Villages at Rancho El Dorado vs Maricopa How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

64.3% +107%

Maricopa: 31.0%

Average gross rent

$1,961 -2%

Maricopa: $1,998

Average HH income

$101,451 +8%

Maricopa: $94,208

Poverty rate

7.5% +11%

Maricopa: 6.8%

Renter share

19.4% +18%

Maricopa: 16.4%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Villages at Rancho El Dorado and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 3–3.7

Why Villages at Rancho El Dorado scores 3.3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 2.2–2.2 across tracts

2.2

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 4.1–4.1 across tracts

4.1

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 5.6–5.6 across tracts

5.6

Rent control risk

64% of income on rent · Range 7.1–7.1 across tracts

7.1

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.4–2.4 across tracts

2.4

Tenant organizing strength

19% renter households · Range 4.1–4.1 across tracts

4.1

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts

5.5

Economic stress

7.5% below poverty line · Range 1.0–2.8 across tracts

1.9

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 4.5–5.8 across tracts

5.0

Risk score comparison

Villages at Rancho El Dorado vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Villages at Rancho El Dorado?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution

0246810

Spread of 0.7 points from 3 to 3.7. Tracts are relatively uniform, so conditions feel similar throughout the neighborhood.

Tracts as heat grid

3.7 3.3 3.0

Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.

Census tracts

3 tracts in Villages at Rancho El Dorado

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
04021001706	3.7	5,475	66%	$2,100
04021001704	3.3	7,119	71%	$1,861
04021001707	3	6,290	55%	$1,952

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 42

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 56%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 75%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 70%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 8%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Villages at Rancho El Dorado

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

13.6%Housing insecurity
9.1%Utility shutoff threat
17.2%Food insecurity
11.1%SNAP enrollment
11.8%No health insurance
29.8%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Villages at Rancho El Dorado

What is the eviction-risk score for Villages at Rancho El Dorado?

Villages at Rancho El Dorado scores 3.3/10 (Lower tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Villages at Rancho El Dorado compare to Maricopa overall?

Villages at Rancho El Dorado scores 0.7 points lower than Maricopa overall (4/10). Renters spend 64% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $1,961 vs $1,998.

What is the average rent in Villages at Rancho El Dorado?

Average gross rent in Villages at Rancho El Dorado is $1,961/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 64% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Villages at Rancho El Dorado residents are renters?

19% of Villages at Rancho El Dorado households are renter-occupied (vs 16% in Maricopa). The neighborhood has 18,884 residents.

Is Villages at Rancho El Dorado a high social-vulnerability area?

Villages at Rancho El Dorado sits in the 42nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in Villages at Rancho El Dorado have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Villages at Rancho El Dorado is census tract 04021001706 (score 3.7/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3 to 3.7, a spread of 0.7 points.

How safe is Villages at Rancho El Dorado for landlords?

Villages at Rancho El Dorado carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.3/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Maricopa as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Villages at Rancho El Dorado?

Villages at Rancho El Dorado has 18,464 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (44.8%), Hispanic / Latino (23.5%), Black (non-Hispanic) (20.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Villages at Rancho El Dorado

3.2 Santa Rosa Springs 2 tracts · pop 8,124 3.2 Rancho El Dorado 2 tracts · pop 11,067 4.3 Villago 2 tracts · pop 6,792 4.2 Tamaron 4 tracts · pop 19,718 3.1 San Tan Heights 4 tracts · pop 20,142 3.1 Whitewing in the San Tans 2 tracts · pop 7,099

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Maricopa

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Villages at Rancho El Dorado.

3.2 Sorrento 1 tracts · pop 5,149 3.1 Santa Rosa Springs 2 tracts · pop 8,124 3.1 Rancho El Dorado 2 tracts · pop 11,067 3 Lakes at Rancho El Dorado 1 tracts · pop 6,907 3.6 Cobblestone 1 tracts · pop 4,683 4.3 Rancho Mirage 1 tracts · pop 4,802

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