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Neighborhood · Maricopa, AZ

Villages at Rancho El Dorado Eviction Risk: Moderate

3 census tracts · pop 18,884 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.5/10 · range 5.4–5.7

Villages at Rancho El Dorado is a white-hispanic neighborhood in Maricopa with 3 census tracts and a population of 18,884 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 5.5/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 64% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 27% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Median gross rent of $1,961/month sits 2% lower than the Maricopa citywide median ($1,998).

Risk score
5.5
Moderate
3 tracts · population-weighted
Villages at Rancho El Dorado vs Maricopa How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
64.3% +107%
Maricopa: 31.0%
Average gross rent
$1,961 -2%
Maricopa: $1,998
Average HH income
$101,451 +8%
Maricopa: $94,208
Poverty rate
7.5% +11%
Maricopa: 6.8%
Renter share
19.4% +18%
Maricopa: 16.4%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Villages at Rancho El Dorado and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 5.4–5.7

Why Villages at Rancho El Dorado scores 5.5

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.2–2.2 across tracts
2.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 4.1–4.1 across tracts
4.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.6–5.6 across tracts
5.6
Rent control risk
64% of income on rent · Range 7.1–7.1 across tracts
7.1
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.4–2.4 across tracts
2.4
Tenant organizing strength
19% renter households · Range 4.1–4.1 across tracts
4.1
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Economic stress
7.5% below poverty line · Range 1.0–2.8 across tracts
1.9
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 4.5–5.8 across tracts
5.0
Risk score comparison

Villages at Rancho El Dorado vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Villages at Rancho El Dorado score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Villages at Rancho: 5.55.5Villages at RanchoNeighborhoodParent city: 5.75.7Parent cityhost cityState: 4.04.0Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.35.3U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Villages at Rancho El Dorado?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square — click to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 0.3 points from 5.4 to 5.7. Tracts are relatively uniform — conditions feel similar throughout the neighborhood.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

3 tracts in Villages at Rancho El Dorado

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
04021001706 5.7 5,475 66% $2,100
04021001704 5.5 7,119 71% $1,861
04021001707 5.4 6,290 55% $1,952
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 42

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 56%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 75%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 70%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 8%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Villages at Rancho El Dorado

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Villages at Rancho El Dorado

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Villages at Rancho El Dorado?

Villages at Rancho El Dorado scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

Q2

How does Villages at Rancho El Dorado compare to Maricopa overall?

Villages at Rancho El Dorado scores 0.2 points lower than Maricopa overall (5.7/10). Renters spend 64% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Median rent: $1,961 vs $1,998.

Q3

What is the average rent in Villages at Rancho El Dorado?

Median gross rent in Villages at Rancho El Dorado is $1,961/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 64% of renter households are cost-burdened.

Q4

What percentage of Villages at Rancho El Dorado residents are renters?

19% of Villages at Rancho El Dorado households are renter-occupied (vs 16% in Maricopa). The neighborhood has 18,884 residents.

Q5

Is Villages at Rancho El Dorado a high social-vulnerability area?

Villages at Rancho El Dorado sits in the 42th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Q6

Which tracts in Villages at Rancho El Dorado have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Villages at Rancho El Dorado is census tract 04021001706 (score 5.7/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5.4 to 5.7 — a spread of 0.3 points.

Q7

How safe is Villages at Rancho El Dorado for landlords?

Villages at Rancho El Dorado carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.5/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Maricopa as a whole (5.7/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.

Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Villages at Rancho El Dorado?

Villages at Rancho El Dorado has 18,464 residents (White-Hispanic Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (44.8%), Hispanic / Latino (23.5%), Black (non-Hispanic) (20.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Villages at Rancho El Dorado

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Maricopa

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Villages at Rancho El Dorado.

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