Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Johnson Ranch Eviction Risk: Lower , San Tan Valley
Tract 04021000227 · Pinal, AZ · pop 4,545 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
Census tract 04021000227 covers part of the Johnson Ranch area of San Tan Valley, AZ, and scores 3/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,545 residents. Cost burden runs 27% here against 37.6% across Pinal County.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9%
Stable renters 25%
Owners 66%
Tract context
Occupied units1,768
Renter share34.4%
SVI overall0.02
Poverty rate7.1%
Median income$101,071
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
28
th percentile
Low
Within county
7
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
40
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across San Tan Valley and the region
Centroid at 33.1487, -111.5602 · click any tract to drill in
Why Johnson Ranch scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from San Tan Valley
4.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
7.1% poverty · this tract
1.8
Supply constraint
$2,167 rent vs county FMR
6.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from San Tan Valley
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from San Tan Valley
4.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from San Tan Valley
4.9
How Johnson Ranch compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 2
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 10%Socioeconomic
- 5%Household composition
- 53%Racial/ethnic minority
- 3%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Johnson Ranch. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.0%Housing insecurity
- 6.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 11.9%Food insecurity
- 7.3%SNAP enrollment
- 6.8%Transit barriers
- 8.8%No health insurance
- 15.9%Frequent mental distress
- 27.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Johnson Ranch
The clearest offset is economic stress at 1.8/10. On the softer side, state political climate reads 2.2/10. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 7.4/10.
SNAP participation runs 7.3% against 15.2% nationally. It sits 0.8 points below the Pinal County average of 3.8.
Nationally it ranks #67,219 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 1.2/10. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.
Average gross rent is $2,167, close to the San Tan Valley average. Annual rent works out to 26% of average household income of $101,071.
34% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 04021000227
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04021000227?
Census tract 04021000227 in the Johnson Ranch neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04021000227?
Median gross rent is $2,167/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 27% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04021000227?
7.1% of residents in tract 04021000227 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,545.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04021000227?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 2th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 10th, household 5th, minority 53th, housing 3th.
Q5
Is tract 04021000227 considered part of Johnson Ranch?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04021000227 fall within Johnson Ranch (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 04021000227 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 04021000227 compare to San Tan Valley overall?
Tract 04021000227 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of San Tan Valley at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Tan Valley eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in San Tan Valley
Top eight tracts in San Tan Valley ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AZ
Circle Cross Ranch
3.5
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
Copper Basin
3.5
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
San Tan Heights
3.2
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
Whitewing in the San Tans
3.2
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
04021000217
3.1
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
Copper Basin
3.1
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
Castlegate
3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
Pecan Creek South
3
/ 10 · Low
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