Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #75,086 of 84,120 nationally
Johnson Ranch Eviction Risk: Lower , San Tan Valley
Tract 04021000226 · Pinal, AZ · pop 6,586 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi
How risky is Johnson Ranch in San Tan Valley for landlords? Census tract 04021000226 scores 5.2/10, the Moderate tier. It lands near the 47th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
59% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 50% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,875 a month while the average household earns $95,902 a year, roughly 23% of income at the averages. About 6% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
1.9
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4%
Stable renters 3%
Owners 93%
Tract context
Occupied units2,114
Renter share6.4%
SVI overall0.18
Poverty rate3.8%
Median income$95,902
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
17
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
10
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
14
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across San Tan Valley and the region
Centroid at 33.1756, -111.5582 · click any tract to drill in
Why Johnson Ranch scores 1.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from San Tan Valley
4.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
3.8% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,875 rent vs county FMR
4.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from San Tan Valley
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from San Tan Valley
4.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from San Tan Valley
4.9
How Johnson Ranch compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 18
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 21%Socioeconomic
- 34%Household composition
- 49%Racial/ethnic minority
- 14%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Johnson Ranch. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.9%Housing insecurity
- 6.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 12.4%Food insecurity
- 7.0%SNAP enrollment
- 6.9%Transit barriers
- 9.9%No health insurance
- 16.9%Frequent mental distress
- 26.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Johnson Ranch
What moves this score most is rent-control risk at 5.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from San Tan Valley eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Pinal County average of 4.9 and in line with the Arizona statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 18th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
In CDC survey modeling, about 10.9% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 6.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 04021000226
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04021000226?
Census tract 04021000226 in the Johnson Ranch neighborhood scores 1.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04021000226?
Median gross rent is $1,875/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04021000226?
3.8% of residents in tract 04021000226 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,586.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04021000226?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 18th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 21th, household 34th, minority 49th, housing 14th.
Q5
Is tract 04021000226 considered part of Johnson Ranch?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04021000226 fall within Johnson Ranch (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 04021000226 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 04021000226 compare to San Tan Valley overall?
Tract 04021000226 scores 1.9/10, lower than the parent city of San Tan Valley at 2.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Tan Valley eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in San Tan Valley
Top eight tracts in San Tan Valley ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AZ
Circle Cross Ranch
2.7
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
Copper Basin
2.7
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
Whitewing in the San Tans
2.5
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
San Tan Heights
2.5
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
Copper Basin
2.4
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
04021000217
2.4
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
04021000208
2.3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
Pecan Creek South
2.3
/ 10 · Low
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