Within parent city
67
th percentile
Elevated
Census Tract · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
San Tan Valley Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 04021000208 · Pinal, AZ · pop 3,947 · 28% of tract blocks fall in San Tan Valley
04021000208 is a census tract in San Tan Valley, AZ. It scores 3/10 for landlords. It is home to 3,947 residents. 11% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well under the Pinal County average of 37.6%.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 1%
Stable renters 7%
Owners 92%
Tract context
Occupied units1,667
Renter share7.9%
SVI overall0.14
Poverty rate6.1%
Median income$84,132
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
22
th percentile
Low
Within state
40
th percentile
Low
National
20
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across San Tan Valley and the region
Centroid at 33.1529, -111.4745 · click any tract to drill in
Why San Tan Valley scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from San Tan Valley
4.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
6.1% poverty · this tract
1.5
Supply constraint
$1,813 rent vs county FMR
4.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from San Tan Valley
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from San Tan Valley
4.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from San Tan Valley
4.9
How San Tan Valley compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 14
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 19%Socioeconomic
- 10%Household composition
- 49%Racial/ethnic minority
- 21%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 12.3%Housing insecurity
- 8.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 15.2%Food insecurity
- 9.5%SNAP enrollment
- 8.2%Transit barriers
- 11.4%No health insurance
- 17.9%Frequent mental distress
- 29.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in San Tan Valley
The main counterweight is economic stress at 1.5/10. Running cool, state political climate reads 2.2/10. The severe-burden share is 11%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
On the high side, court filing pressure reads 7.4/10. Against the Pinal County average of 3.8, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.8 points. At $1,813 a month, rents run 13% under what the rest of San Tan Valley commands.
On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Only 8% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 2.2/10.
Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Annual rent works out to 26% of average household income of $84,132.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 04021000208
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04021000208?
Census tract 04021000208 in San Tan Valley scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04021000208?
Median gross rent is $1,813/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 11% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04021000208?
6.1% of residents in tract 04021000208 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,947.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04021000208?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 14th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 19th, household 10th, minority 49th, housing 21th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 04021000208 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 04021000208 compare to San Tan Valley overall?
Tract 04021000208 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of San Tan Valley at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Tan Valley eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in San Tan Valley
Top eight tracts in San Tan Valley ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AZ
Circle Cross Ranch
3.5
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
Copper Basin
3.5
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
San Tan Heights
3.2
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
Whitewing in the San Tans
3.2
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
Copper Basin
3.1
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
04021000217
3.1
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
04021000215
3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
Castlegate
3
/ 10 · Low
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