Within parent city
67
th percentile
Elevated
Census Tract · Ranked #69,776 of 84,120 nationally
San Tan Valley Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 04021000208 · Pinal, AZ · pop 3,947 · 28% of tract blocks fall in San Tan Valley
Census tract 04021000208 runs through San Tan Valley. With 3,947 residents, it scores 4.1/10 for landlords. It lands near the 15th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
About 11% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a modest level, and 11% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,813 a month against an average household income of $84,132 a year, roughly 26% of income at the averages. Renters make up 8% of occupied homes.
Risk score
2.3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 1%
Stable renters 7%
Owners 92%
Tract context
Occupied units1,667
Renter share7.9%
SVI overall0.14
Poverty rate6.1%
Median income$84,132
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
26
th percentile
Low
Within state
22
th percentile
Low
National
17
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across San Tan Valley and the region
Centroid at 33.1529, -111.4745 · click any tract to drill in
Why San Tan Valley scores 2.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from San Tan Valley
4.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
6.1% poverty · this tract
1.5
Supply constraint
$1,813 rent vs county FMR
4.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from San Tan Valley
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from San Tan Valley
4.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from San Tan Valley
4.9
How San Tan Valley compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 14
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 19%Socioeconomic
- 10%Household composition
- 49%Racial/ethnic minority
- 21%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 12.3%Housing insecurity
- 8.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 15.2%Food insecurity
- 9.5%SNAP enrollment
- 8.2%Transit barriers
- 11.4%No health insurance
- 17.9%Frequent mental distress
- 29.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in San Tan Valley
The score leans hardest on rent-control risk at 5.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from San Tan Valley eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Pinal County average of 4.9 and below the Arizona statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 12.3% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 8.0% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 14th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 04021000208
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04021000208?
Census tract 04021000208 in San Tan Valley scores 2.3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04021000208?
Median gross rent is $1,813/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 11% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04021000208?
6.1% of residents in tract 04021000208 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,947.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04021000208?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 14th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 19th, household 10th, minority 49th, housing 21th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 04021000208 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 04021000208 compare to San Tan Valley overall?
Tract 04021000208 scores 2.3/10, lower than the parent city of San Tan Valley at 2.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Tan Valley eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in San Tan Valley
Top eight tracts in San Tan Valley ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AZ
Circle Cross Ranch
2.7
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
Copper Basin
2.7
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
Whitewing in the San Tans
2.5
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
San Tan Heights
2.5
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
Copper Basin
2.4
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
04021000217
2.4
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
Pecan Creek South
2.3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
San Tan Heights
2.1
/ 10 · Low
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