Census Tract · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
San Tan Valley Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 04021000215 ·
Pinal, AZ · pop 2,931 · 61% of tract blocks fall in San Tan Valley
04021000215 is a census tract in San Tan Valley, AZ. It scores 3/10 for landlords. Against Pinal County at 37.6%, 55% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 6%Stable renters 5%Owners 89%
Tract context
Occupied units1,483
Renter share11.5%
SVI overall0.45
Poverty rate5.0%
Median income$108,496
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
22th percentile
#15 of 19 tracts In San Tan Valley
Low
Within county
23th percentile
#73 of 95 tracts In Pinal
Low
Within state
40th percentile
#1,065 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Low
National
20th percentile
#67,219 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across San Tan Valley and the region
Centroid at 33.1569, -111.6388 · click any tract to drill in
Why San Tan Valley scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from San Tan Valley
4.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
5.0% poverty · this tract
1.3
Supply constraint
$2,035 rent vs county FMR
5.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from San Tan Valley
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from San Tan Valley
4.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from San Tan Valley
4.9
How San Tan Valley compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 45
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
9.1%Housing insecurity
6.0%Utility-shutoff threat
11.2%Food insecurity
6.5%SNAP enrollment
6.3%Transit barriers
8.6%No health insurance
15.7%Frequent mental distress
28.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in San Tan Valley
The clearest offset is economic stress at 1.3/10. On the softer side, state political climate reads 2.2/10. 16% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Running hot, court filing pressure reads 7.4/10. SNAP participation runs 6.5% against 15.2% nationally. Against the Pinal County average of 3.8, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.8 points.
On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. At 11% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 5/10.
Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Average gross rent is $2,035, close to the San Tan Valley average. Annual rent works out to 23% of average household income of $108,496.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 04021000215
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04021000215?
Census tract 04021000215 in San Tan Valley scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04021000215?
Median gross rent is $2,035/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04021000215?
5.0% of residents in tract 04021000215 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,931.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04021000215?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 45th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 34th, household 50th, minority 48th, housing 56th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 04021000215 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 04021000215 compare to San Tan Valley overall?
Tract 04021000215 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of San Tan Valley at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Tan Valley eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in San Tan Valley
Top eight tracts in San Tan Valley ranked by composite eviction-risk score.