Census Tract · Ranked #11,988 of 84,120 nationally

Bakersfield Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 06029003127 · Kern, CA · pop 3,686

Census tract 06029003127 covers part of Bakersfield, CA, and scores 7.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. 35% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score

7.2

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 23% Stable renters 22% Owners 55%

Tract context

Occupied units1,138

Renter share45.1%

SVI overall0.89

Poverty rate21.1%

Median income$45,461

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Bakersfield and the region

Centroid at 35.3068, -119.0121 · click any tract to drill in

Why Bakersfield scores 7.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Bakersfield

4.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

4.5

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

21.1% poverty · this tract

5.3

Supply constraint

$1,409 rent vs county FMR

5.2

Rent control risk

Inherited from Bakersfield

4.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Bakersfield

4.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Bakersfield

5.5

How Bakersfield compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 89

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

96%Socioeconomic
59%Household composition
85%Racial/ethnic minority
76%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

35.0%Housing insecurity
19.7%Utility-shutoff threat
45.2%Food insecurity
44.6%SNAP enrollment
22.4%Transit barriers
28.1%No health insurance
23.1%Frequent mental distress
45.2%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Bakersfield

Food insecurity runs 45.2% against 17.8% nationally. Housing insecurity runs 35.0% against 14.2% nationally. Annualized rent equals 37% of average household income of $45,461, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

The poverty rate is 21%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. It sits 0.8 points above the Kern County average of 6.4.

On the national scale it lands near the 86th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. The legal-climate inputs (statute speed, court posture, rent-regulation exposure) come from Bakersfield eviction risk as a whole. Only the economic and supply signals are measured inside this tract.

Social vulnerability reads 9/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured. 51% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.

Average gross rent is $1,409, close to the Bakersfield average. 45% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 06029003127

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06029003127?

Census tract 06029003127 in Bakersfield scores 7.2/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06029003127?

Median gross rent is $1,409/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06029003127?

21.1% of residents in tract 06029003127 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,686.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06029003127?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 89th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 96th, household 59th, minority 85th, housing 76th.

What share of households in tract 06029003127 struggle to pay rent?

About 35.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 19.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06029003127 compare to Bakersfield overall?

Tract 06029003127 scores 7.2/10, higher than the parent city of Bakersfield at 6.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bakersfield eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Bakersfield

Top eight tracts in Bakersfield ranked by composite eviction-risk score.