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Neighborhood · French Valley, CA

Willow Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 11,937 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.9/10 · range 4.9–4.9

Willow is a one-tract neighborhood of French Valley, CA and houses 11,937 people. Scored across those inputs it reaches 4.9/10, placing it in the Moderate tier. Cost burden runs 61% against 25.6% citywide, putting Willow 35.3% over its own city.

The strongest single driver of the headline number is supply constraint at 10/10. The voucher gap is 51.8%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears.

On the softer side is economic stress, at 1/10. Sitting well above the midpoint is rent-regulation exposure at 7.6/10.

Severe burden reaches 10%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. Average gross rent is $3,501, 12% above the French Valley average of $3,119. That places it #2 of 5 neighborhoods in French Valley.

At 9% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out. For a like-for-like read, Dutch Village and Rancho Bella Vista score within a fraction of it. Poverty sits at 1%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Annual rent works out to 31% of average household income of $134,185.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 4.9/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
4.9
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Willow vs French Valley How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
60.9% +138%
French Valley: 25.6%
Average gross rent
$3,501 +12%
French Valley: $3,119
Average HH income
$134,185 +1%
French Valley: $132,605
Poverty rate
1.2% -75%
French Valley: 4.8%
Renter share
9.0% -28%
French Valley: 12.6%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Willow and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 4.9–4.9

Why Willow scores 4.9

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.4–5.4 across tracts
5.4
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Rent control risk
61% of income on rent · Range 7.6–7.6 across tracts
7.6
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.3–6.3 across tracts
6.3
Tenant organizing strength
9% renter households · Range 3.8–3.8 across tracts
3.8
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.3–5.3 across tracts
5.3
Economic stress
1.2% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 10.0–10.0 across tracts
10.0
Risk score comparison

Willow vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Willow score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Willow: 4.94.9WillowNeighborhoodParent city: 6.36.3Parent cityhost cityState: 7.67.6Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Willow

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
06065043235 4.9 11,937 61% $3,501
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 29

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 27%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 53%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 76%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 15%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Willow

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Willow

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Willow?

Willow scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Willow compare to French Valley overall?

Willow scores 1.4 points lower than French Valley overall (6.3/10). Renters spend 61% of income on rent vs 26% citywide. Average rent: $3,501 vs $3,119.
Q3

What is the average rent in Willow?

Average gross rent in Willow is $3,501/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Willow residents are renters?

9% of Willow households are renter-occupied (vs 13% in French Valley). The neighborhood has 11,937 residents.
Q5

Is Willow a high social-vulnerability area?

Willow sits in the 29th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Willow for landlords?

Willow carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.9/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to French Valley as a whole (6.3/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Willow?

Willow has 12,852 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (30.5%), Hispanic / Latino (28.4%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (18.6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Willow

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside French Valley

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Willow.

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