1 census tracts · pop 5,877 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6.3/10
· range 6.3–6.3
Terra Cotta is a one-tract neighborhood of Lake Elsinore, CA, population 5,877. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 6.3/10, Elevated tier. Cost burden runs 58% against 35.5% citywide, putting Terra Cotta 22.5% over its own city.
The clearest offset is economic stress, at 1.9/10. On the high side is rent-regulation exposure at 8/10. Severe burden reaches 16%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.
CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 22.4% of adults, against 14.2% nationally. Running cool is supply constraint, at 2.8/10.
Average gross rent is $1,800, 13% below the Lake Elsinore average of $2,078. Food insecurity affects 25.9% of adults, 8.1 points above the national rate.
Among the 5 mapped neighborhoods of Lake Elsinore, it ranks #4 by risk, the lower third. The closest comparables inside the same city are Pinnacle and Summerly.
Social vulnerability runs high at 8.9/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. Annual rent works out to 24% of average household income of $90,724.
Because the boundary contains one tract, 6.3/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
6.3
Elevated
1 tracts · population-weighted
Terra Cotta vs Lake ElsinoreHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority81%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport75%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Terra Cotta
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
22.4%Housing insecurity
10.9%Utility shutoff threat
25.9%Food insecurity
22.1%SNAP enrollment
15.7%No health insurance
37.2%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Terra Cotta
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Terra Cotta?
Terra Cotta scores 6.3/10 (Elevated tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Terra Cotta compare to Lake Elsinore overall?
Terra Cotta scores 0.3 points lower than Lake Elsinore overall (6.6/10). Renters spend 58% of income on rent vs 36% citywide. Average rent: $1,800 vs $2,078.
Q3
What is the average rent in Terra Cotta?
Average gross rent in Terra Cotta is $1,800/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Terra Cotta residents are renters?
39% of Terra Cotta households are renter-occupied (vs 29% in Lake Elsinore). The neighborhood has 5,877 residents.
Q5
Is Terra Cotta a high social-vulnerability area?
Terra Cotta sits in the 87th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
How safe is Terra Cotta for landlords?
Terra Cotta carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6.3/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Lake Elsinore as a whole (6.6/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q7
What is the demographic breakdown of Terra Cotta?
Terra Cotta has 5,740 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (59%), White (non-Hispanic) (29.4%), Black (non-Hispanic) (4.5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
