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Neighborhood · Lake Elsinore, CA

North Elsinore Eviction Risk: High

1 census tracts · pop 4,760 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 8/10 · range 8–8

North Elsinore is a one-tract neighborhood of Lake Elsinore, CA, population 4,760. The Eviction Risk Score is 8/10, in the High tier. Cost burden runs 61% against 35.5% citywide, putting North Elsinore 25.2% over its own city.

The severe-burden share is 37%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. Average gross rent is $1,194, 43% below the Lake Elsinore average of $2,078. The main counterweight is supply constraint, at 1/10.

Running hot is rent-regulation exposure at 8/10. CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 25.0% of adults, against 14.2% nationally. Food insecurity affects 29.3% of adults, 11.5 points above the national rate.

The poverty rate is 16%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest. Among the 5 mapped neighborhoods of Lake Elsinore, it ranks #1 by risk, the upper third.

The closest comparables inside the same city are Summerly and Pinnacle. Social vulnerability runs high at 9.8/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. Annual rent works out to 26% of average household income of $55,333.

57% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

One tract means one number: 8/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
8
High
1 tracts · population-weighted
North Elsinore vs Lake Elsinore How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
60.7% +71%
Lake Elsinore: 35.5%
Average gross rent
$1,194 -43%
Lake Elsinore: $2,078
Average HH income
$55,333 -43%
Lake Elsinore: $96,527
Poverty rate
16.1% +72%
Lake Elsinore: 9.4%
Renter share
57.2% +96%
Lake Elsinore: 29.1%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across North Elsinore and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 8–8

Why North Elsinore scores 8

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.4–5.4 across tracts
5.4
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.9–5.9 across tracts
5.9
Rent control risk
61% of income on rent · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.9–6.9 across tracts
6.9
Tenant organizing strength
57% renter households · Range 6.2–6.2 across tracts
6.2
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Economic stress
16.1% below poverty line · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Risk score comparison

North Elsinore vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

North Elsinore score vs. parent city, state, U.S.North Elsinore: 8.08.0North ElsinoreNeighborhoodParent city: 6.66.6Parent cityhost cityState: 7.67.6Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in North Elsinore

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
06065043006 8 4,760 61% $1,194
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 97

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 90%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 97%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 81%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 93%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in North Elsinore

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About North Elsinore

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for North Elsinore?

North Elsinore scores 8/10 (High tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does North Elsinore compare to Lake Elsinore overall?

North Elsinore scores 1.4 points higher than Lake Elsinore overall (6.6/10). Renters spend 61% of income on rent vs 36% citywide. Average rent: $1,194 vs $2,078.
Q3

What is the average rent in North Elsinore?

Average gross rent in North Elsinore is $1,194/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of North Elsinore residents are renters?

57% of North Elsinore households are renter-occupied (vs 29% in Lake Elsinore). The neighborhood has 4,760 residents.
Q5

Is North Elsinore a high social-vulnerability area?

North Elsinore sits in the 97th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is North Elsinore for landlords?

North Elsinore carries a high-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (8/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Lake Elsinore as a whole (6.6/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of North Elsinore?

North Elsinore has 4,729 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (56.6%), White (non-Hispanic) (34.7%), Black (non-Hispanic) (6.9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near North Elsinore

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Lake Elsinore

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to North Elsinore.

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