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Neighborhood · Ranked #4,622 of 84,120 nationally

Castle Park Eviction Risk: High , Chula Vista

Tract 06073013102 · San Diego, CA · pop 6,909 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

Tract 06073013102 sits in the Castle Park area of Chula Vista eviction risk, CA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 8.8/10. 77% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far above the San Diego County average of 52.5%.

Risk score
8.8
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 51% Stable renters 15% Owners 34%
Tract context
Occupied units2,067
Renter share65.8%
SVI overall0.96
Poverty rate10.4%
Median income$64,619

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
80 th percentile
Rank, 80th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 6 tracts In Castle Park
High
Within parent city
79 th percentile
Rank, 79th percentileLowHigh
#12 of 54 tracts In Chula Vista
High
Within county
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#182 of 736 tracts In San Diego
High
Within state
77 th percentile
Rank, 77th percentileLowHigh
#2,111 of 9,109 tracts In California
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Chula Vista and the region

Centroid at 32.6167, -117.0657 · click any tract to drill in

Why Castle Park scores 8.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Chula Vista
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
10.4% poverty · this tract
2.6
Supply constraint
$2,096 rent vs county FMR
2.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chula Vista
8.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chula Vista
8.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chula Vista
6.3

How Castle Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Castle Park risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 8.88.8This tracttract 013102Chula Vista: 7.87.8Chula Vistaparent cityCounty: 7.67.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 7.57.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 96

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Castle Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Castle Park

29% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Annualized rent equals 39% of average household income of $64,619, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

What pushes it up most is rent-regulation exposure at 8.1/10. 66% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.1/10. Against the San Diego County average of 7.6, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.2 points.

Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 2.3/10. Housing insecurity runs 23.6% against 14.2% nationally. SNAP participation runs 24.6% against 15.2% nationally.

On the national scale it lands near the 95th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.3 points hotter. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 06073013102

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06073013102?

Census tract 06073013102 in the Castle Park neighborhood scores 8.8/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06073013102?

Median gross rent is $2,096/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 77% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06073013102?

10.4% of residents in tract 06073013102 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,909.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06073013102?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 96th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 91th, household 73th, minority 92th, housing 97th.
Q5

Is tract 06073013102 considered part of Castle Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06073013102 fall within Castle Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06073013102 struggle to pay rent?

About 23.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06073013102 compare to Chula Vista overall?

Tract 06073013102 scores 8.8/10, higher than the parent city of Chula Vista at 7.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chula Vista eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chula Vista

Top eight tracts in Chula Vista ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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