Neighborhood · Ranked #11,153 of 84,120 nationally

Castle Park Eviction Risk: Elevated , Chula Vista

Tract 06073013301 · San Diego, CA · pop 5,277 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi

Tract 06073013301 sits in the Castle Park area of Chula Vista eviction risk, CA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 7.3/10. It is home to 5,277 residents. The severe-burden share is 23%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score

7.3

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 14% Stable renters 14% Owners 72%

Tract context

Occupied units1,567

Renter share27.8%

SVI overall0.63

Poverty rate7.3%

Median income$106,645

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Chula Vista and the region

Centroid at 32.6238, -117.0512 · click any tract to drill in

Why Castle Park scores 7.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Chula Vista

6.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.1

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

7.3% poverty · this tract

1.8

Supply constraint

$2,461 rent vs county FMR

3.5

Rent control risk

Inherited from Chula Vista

8.1

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.9

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Chula Vista

8.1

Housing court bias

Inherited from Chula Vista

6.3

How Castle Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 63

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

74%Socioeconomic
53%Household composition
80%Racial/ethnic minority
33%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Castle Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

17.9%Housing insecurity
7.7%Utility-shutoff threat
20.0%Food insecurity
16.6%SNAP enrollment
10.0%Transit barriers
13.9%No health insurance
16.3%Frequent mental distress
30.0%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Castle Park

The main counterweight is economic stress at 1.8/10. On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.1/10.

Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.1/10. Average gross rent is $2,461, 10% above the Chula Vista average.

That is riskier than roughly 87% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. roughly one in two of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.

It tracks the San Diego County average of 7.6 closely. Annual rent works out to 28% of average household income of $106,645.

28% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 06073013301

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06073013301?

Census tract 06073013301 in the Castle Park neighborhood scores 7.3/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06073013301?

Median gross rent is $2,461/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06073013301?

7.3% of residents in tract 06073013301 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,277.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06073013301?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 63th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 74th, household 53th, minority 80th, housing 33th.

Is tract 06073013301 considered part of Castle Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06073013301 fall within Castle Park (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06073013301 struggle to pay rent?

About 17.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06073013301 compare to Chula Vista overall?

Tract 06073013301 scores 7.3/10, lower than the parent city of Chula Vista at 7.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chula Vista eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chula Vista

Top eight tracts in Chula Vista ranked by composite eviction-risk score.