Neighborhood · Ranked #12,919 of 84,120 nationally

Lynwood Hills Eviction Risk: Elevated , Chula Vista

Tract 06073013409 · San Diego, CA · pop 6,072 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

Census tract 06073013409 covers part of the Lynwood Hills area of Chula Vista, CA, and scores 7/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 6,072. The severe-burden share is 38%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 20% Stable renters 11% Owners 69%

Tract context

Occupied units2,031

Renter share31.0%

SVI overall0.65

Poverty rate5.2%

Median income$108,590

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Chula Vista and the region

Centroid at 32.6333, -117.0362 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lynwood Hills scores 7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Chula Vista

6.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.1

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

5.2% poverty · this tract

1.3

Supply constraint

$2,425 rent vs county FMR

3.4

Rent control risk

Inherited from Chula Vista

8.1

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.9

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Chula Vista

8.1

Housing court bias

Inherited from Chula Vista

6.3

How Lynwood Hills compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 65

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

63%Socioeconomic
55%Household composition
81%Racial/ethnic minority
53%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Lynwood Hills. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

15.0%Housing insecurity
6.5%Utility-shutoff threat
16.2%Food insecurity
13.2%SNAP enrollment
8.7%Transit barriers
10.8%No health insurance
15.8%Frequent mental distress
27.5%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lynwood Hills

Against San Diego County at 52.5%, 65% of renters here are cost-burdened. The main counterweight is economic stress at 1.3/10.

Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.1/10. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.1/10.

At $2,425 a month, rents run 9% over what the rest of Chula Vista commands. On the national scale it lands near the 85th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 6.8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. It tracks the San Diego County average of 7.6 closely.

Annual rent works out to 27% of average household income of $108,590. 31% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 06073013409

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06073013409?

Census tract 06073013409 in the Lynwood Hills neighborhood scores 7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06073013409?

Median gross rent is $2,425/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 65% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06073013409?

5.2% of residents in tract 06073013409 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,072.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06073013409?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 65th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 63th, household 55th, minority 81th, housing 53th.

Is tract 06073013409 considered part of Lynwood Hills?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06073013409 fall within Lynwood Hills (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06073013409 struggle to pay rent?

About 15.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06073013409 compare to Chula Vista overall?

Tract 06073013409 scores 7/10, lower than the parent city of Chula Vista at 7.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chula Vista eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chula Vista

Top eight tracts in Chula Vista ranked by composite eviction-risk score.