Ortega Forest Eviction Risk: Moderate , Jacksonville
Tract 12031013404 · Duval, FL · pop 3,438 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
Census tract 12031013404 covers part of the Ortega Forest area of Jacksonville, FL, and scores 4.6/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,438 residents. Severe burden reaches 39%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Jacksonville and the region
Centroid at 30.2526, -81.7198 · click any tract to drill in
Why Ortega Forest scores 4.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Ortega Forest compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 68
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 79%Socioeconomic
- 16%Household composition
- 66%Racial/ethnic minority
- 73%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,160Total filings over 10 yrs
- 17.70%Avg annual filing rate
- 24.8%Peak (2013)
- 95Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 562Total filings 2020-21
- 7.3Avg monthly (observed)
- 10.4Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.70×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Jacksonville, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Ortega Forest. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
What drives eviction risk in Ortega Forest
roughly three in four of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far above the Duval County average of 49.2%. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.
On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10.
At $1,138 a month, rents run 22% under what the rest of Jacksonville commands. The poverty rate is 19%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.
The filing record is not thin: 1,160 evictions over 10 years of observation. It sits 0.9 points above the Duval County average of 3.7. The worst year on record was 2013, when 24.8% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 17.7% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #39,308 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.1/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
About tract 12031013404
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12031013404?
What is the average rent in tract 12031013404?
What is the poverty rate in tract 12031013404?
How socially vulnerable is tract 12031013404?
Is tract 12031013404 considered part of Ortega Forest?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12031013404?
Did eviction filings in tract 12031013404 drop during COVID?
How does tract 12031013404 compare to Jacksonville overall?
Highest-risk tracts in Jacksonville
Top eight tracts in Jacksonville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.