Tract 12086008431 ·
Miami-Dade, FL · pop 2,411 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
Tract 12086008431 sits in the Spanish Trace Condominums area of Kendall eviction risk, FL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.6/10. It is home to 2,411 residents. The severe-burden share is 47%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
5.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16%Stable renters 14%Owners 70%
Tract context
Occupied units537
Renter share29.8%
SVI overall0.77
Poverty rate31.2%
Median income$58,648
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100th percentile
#1 of 11 tracts In Spanish Trace Condominums
Very High
Within parent city
95th percentile
#2 of 21 tracts In Kendall
Very High
Within county
77th percentile
#160 of 706 tracts In Miami-Dade
High
Within state
93th percentile
#360 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Kendall and the region
Centroid at 25.6932, -80.3783 · click any tract to drill in
Why Spanish Trace Condominums scores 5.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Kendall
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
31.2% poverty · this tract
7.8
Supply constraint
$2,794 rent vs county FMR
7.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Kendall
7.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Kendall
7.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Kendall
6.8
How Spanish Trace Condominums compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 77
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
70%Socioeconomic
79%Household composition
81%Racial/ethnic minority
61%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
7Total filings 2020-21
0.1Avg monthly (observed)
0.3Pre-pandemic baseline
0.33×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–20212020-01-01 to 2026-01-01
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Miami as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Spanish Trace Condominums. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
What drives eviction risk in Spanish Trace Condominums
Annualized rent equals 57% of average household income of $58,648, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Average gross rent is $2,794, 47% above the Kendall average.
Adults with no health insurance runs 30.3% against 11.3% nationally. Pulling hardest the other way is state political climate at 1.5/10. Disability prevalence runs 48.7% against 31.5% nationally.
The poverty rate is 31%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.9/10.
Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.9/10. The voucher gap is 20.0%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 12086008431
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12086008431?
Census tract 12086008431 in the Spanish Trace Condominums neighborhood scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12086008431?
Median gross rent is $2,794/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12086008431?
31.2% of residents in tract 12086008431 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,411.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12086008431?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 77th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 70th, household 79th, minority 81th, housing 61th.
Q5
Is tract 12086008431 considered part of Spanish Trace Condominums?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12086008431 fall within Spanish Trace Condominums (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 12086008431 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.33× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Miami eviction risk), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 12086008431 compare to Kendall overall?
Tract 12086008431 scores 5.6/10, higher than the parent city of Kendall at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Kendall eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Kendall
Top eight tracts in Kendall ranked by composite eviction-risk score.