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Neighborhood · Ranked #49,882 of 84,120 nationally

Downtown Miami Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 12086003707 · Miami-Dade, FL · pop 1,694 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

How risky is the Downtown Miami area of Miami for landlords? Census tract 12086003707 scores 5.2/10, the Moderate tier. That is riskier than about 47% of US census tracts.

About 51% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 15% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $2,419 a month against an average household income of $115,521 a year, roughly 25% of income at the averages. About 72% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
3.5
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 37% Stable renters 35% Owners 28%
Tract context
Occupied units1,159
Renter share72.2%
SVI overall0.39
Poverty rate12.5%
Median income$115,521

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
20 th percentile
Rank, 20th percentileLowHigh
#9 of 11 tracts In Downtown Miami
Low
Within parent city
17 th percentile
Rank, 17th percentileLowHigh
#110 of 132 tracts In Miami
Very Low
Within county
39 th percentile
Rank, 39th percentileLowHigh
#433 of 706 tracts In Miami-Dade
Low
Within state
54 th percentile
Rank, 54th percentileLowHigh
#2,345 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Miami and the region

Centroid at 25.7780, -80.1901 · click any tract to drill in

Why Downtown Miami scores 3.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Miami
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
12.5% poverty · this tract
3.1
Supply constraint
$2,419 rent vs county FMR
5.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Miami
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Miami
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Miami
5.0

How Downtown Miami compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Downtown Miami risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.53.5This tracttract 003707Miami: 3.13.1Miamiparent cityCounty: 3.93.9Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 39

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 26Total filings over 2 yrs
  • 1.91%Avg annual filing rate
  • 2.7%Peak (2015)
  • 8Filings in 2016 (latest validated)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 405Total filings 2020-21
  • 5.6Avg monthly (observed)
  • 2.1Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 2.61×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-01-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 5 filings (2.99× baseline)2020-02-01: 11 filings (6.59× baseline)2020-03-01: 1 filings (0.46× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-07-01: 1 filings (0.43× baseline)2020-08-01: 13 filings (3.90× baseline)2020-09-01: 17 filings (11.33× baseline)2020-10-01: 2 filings (0.46× baseline)2020-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-12-01: 1 filings (0.46× baseline)2021-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-02-01: 1 filings (0.60× baseline)2021-03-01: 5 filings (2.30× baseline)2021-04-01: 9 filings (2.70× baseline)2021-05-01: 2 filings (1.50× baseline)2021-06-01: 7 filings (14.00× baseline)2021-07-01: 4 filings (1.72× baseline)2021-08-01: 6 filings (1.80× baseline)2021-09-01: 1 filings (0.67× baseline)2021-10-01: 9 filings (2.08× baseline)2021-11-01: 1 filings (0.67× baseline)2021-12-01: 3 filings (1.38× baseline)2022-01-01: 5 filings (2.99× baseline)2022-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-03-01: 8 filings (3.69× baseline)2022-04-01: 4 filings (1.20× baseline)2022-05-01: 4 filings (3.01× baseline)2022-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-07-01: 2 filings (0.86× baseline)2022-08-01: 11 filings (3.30× baseline)2022-09-01: 11 filings (7.33× baseline)2022-10-01: 3 filings (0.69× baseline)2022-11-01: 11 filings (7.33× baseline)2022-12-01: 4 filings (1.84× baseline)2023-01-01: 6 filings (3.59× baseline)2023-02-01: 9 filings (5.39× baseline)2023-03-01: 6 filings (2.76× baseline)2023-04-01: 1 filings (0.30× baseline)2023-05-01: 8 filings (6.02× baseline)2023-06-01: 10 filings (20.00× baseline)2023-07-01: 12 filings (5.15× baseline)2023-08-01: 8 filings (2.40× baseline)2023-09-01: 7 filings (4.67× baseline)2023-10-01: 1 filings (0.23× baseline)2023-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-01-01: 1 filings (0.60× baseline)2024-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-03-01: 1 filings (0.46× baseline)2024-04-01: 11 filings (3.30× baseline)2024-05-01: 10 filings (7.52× baseline)2024-06-01: 3 filings (6.00× baseline)2024-07-01: 8 filings (3.43× baseline)2024-08-01: 6 filings (1.80× baseline)2024-09-01: 8 filings (5.33× baseline)2024-10-01: 4 filings (0.92× baseline)2024-11-01: 8 filings (5.33× baseline)2024-12-01: 6 filings (2.76× baseline)2025-01-01: 8 filings (4.79× baseline)2025-02-01: 10 filings (5.99× baseline)2025-03-01: 5 filings (2.30× baseline)2025-04-01: 4 filings (1.20× baseline)2025-05-01: 1 filings (0.75× baseline)2025-06-01: 18 filings (36.00× baseline)2025-07-01: 11 filings (4.72× baseline)2025-08-01: 13 filings (3.90× baseline)2025-09-01: 21 filings (14.00× baseline)2025-10-01: 5 filings (1.15× baseline)2025-11-01: 3 filings (2.00× baseline)2025-12-01: 10 filings (4.61× baseline)2026-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Miami as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Downtown Miami. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Downtown Miami

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 6.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Miami eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Miami-Dade County average of 5.3 and in line with the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 2.61x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, above pre-pandemic levels.

The tract is Hispanic or Latino and White and ranks around the 39th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 12086003707

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12086003707?

Census tract 12086003707 in the Downtown Miami neighborhood scores 3.5/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12086003707?

Median gross rent is $2,419/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12086003707?

12.5% of residents in tract 12086003707 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,694.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12086003707?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 39th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 39th, household 5th, minority 80th, housing 70th.
Q5

Is tract 12086003707 considered part of Downtown Miami?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12086003707 fall within Downtown Miami (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12086003707?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 26 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 12086003707 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.91% of renter households, peaking at 2.7% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 12086003707 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 2.61× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Miami eviction risk), 2020-2021.
Q8

How does tract 12086003707 compare to Miami overall?

Tract 12086003707 scores 3.5/10, higher than the parent city of Miami at 3.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Miami eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Miami

Top eight tracts in Miami ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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