Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #80,871 of 84,120 nationally
Buena Vista Eviction Risk: Lower , Seminole
Tract 12103025120 · Pinellas, FL · pop 3,909 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi
Here is how census tract 12103025120, in the Buena Vista neighborhood of Seminole, looks to a landlord: a 4.7/10 eviction-risk score (Moderate tier) across a population of 3,909. On the national scale it ranks #59,415 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
43% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 0% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average household income is about $118,639 a year. Renters make up 1% of occupied homes.
Risk score
2.3
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 1%
Stable renters 1%
Owners 98%
Tract context
Occupied units1,441
Renter share1.5%
SVI overall0.23
Poverty rate1.3%
Median income$118,639
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
8
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
2
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
7
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Seminole and the region
Centroid at 27.8601, -82.8103 · click any tract to drill in
Why Buena Vista scores 2.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Seminole
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
1.3% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Seminole
6.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Seminole
5.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Seminole
5.3
How Buena Vista compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 23
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 8%Socioeconomic
- 57%Household composition
- 11%Racial/ethnic minority
- 50%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 27Total filings over 16 yrs
- 2.94%Avg annual filing rate
- 9.7%Peak (2003)
- 1Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 10Total filings 2020-21
- 0.1Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.2Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.61×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Buena Vista. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Buena Vista
What moves this score most is rent-control risk at 6.1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Seminole, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Pinellas County average of 4.8 and in line with the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 27 eviction filings here over 16 tracked years, with about 2.9% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 9.7% of renter households in 2003.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 23rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12103025120
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12103025120?
Census tract 12103025120 in the Buena Vista neighborhood scores 2.3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the poverty rate in tract 12103025120?
1.3% of residents in tract 12103025120 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,909.
Q3
How socially vulnerable is tract 12103025120?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 23th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 8th, household 57th, minority 11th, housing 50th.
Q4
Is tract 12103025120 considered part of Buena Vista?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12103025120 fall within Buena Vista (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12103025120?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 27 eviction filings across 16 validated years in tract 12103025120 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.94% of renter households, peaking at 9.7% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 12103025120 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.61× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 12103025120 compare to Seminole overall?
Tract 12103025120 scores 2.3/10, right in line with the parent city of Seminole at 2.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Seminole; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Seminole
Top eight tracts in Seminole ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
Seminole Groves
4.5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Buena Vista
4.5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12103025116
4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Seminole Village
3.6
/ 10 · Low
Tract · FL
12103025114
3.6
/ 10 · Low
Tract · FL
Seminole Groves
3.4
/ 10 · Low
Tract · FL
Seminole Groves
3.3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · FL
Seminole
3.3
/ 10 · Low
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