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Census Tract · Ranked #47,371 of 84,120 nationally

Lakeland Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 12105010300 · Polk, FL · pop 4,025 · 96% of tract blocks fall in Lakeland

Census tract 12105010300 covers part of Lakeland, FL, and scores 4.1/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,025. Against Polk County at 45.8%, 30% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Risk score
4.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14% Stable renters 33% Owners 53%
Tract context
Occupied units1,574
Renter share47.3%
SVI overall0.83
Poverty rate20.7%
Median income$58,289

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
68 th percentile
Rank, 68th percentileLowHigh
#13 of 39 tracts In Lakeland
Elevated
Within county
62 th percentile
Rank, 62nd percentileLowHigh
#67 of 174 tracts In Polk
Elevated
Within state
58 th percentile
Rank, 58th percentileLowHigh
#2,145 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Elevated
National
44 th percentile
Rank, 44th percentileLowHigh
#47,371 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Lakeland and the region

Centroid at 28.0436, -81.9353 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lakeland scores 4.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Lakeland
2.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
20.7% poverty · this tract
5.2
Supply constraint
$1,096 rent vs county FMR
3.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lakeland
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lakeland
2.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lakeland
2.5

How Lakeland compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Lakeland risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.1This tracttract 0103003.3Lakelandparent city3.9Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 83

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,054Total filings over 17 yrs
  • 9.31%Avg annual filing rate
  • 13.9%Peak (2007)
  • 48Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 12105010300
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 17 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lakeland

Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10.

Well under the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 2/10. At $1,096 a month, rents run 21% under what the rest of Lakeland commands.

The poverty rate is 21%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. The filing record is not thin: 1,054 evictions over 17 years of observation. Filings peaked in 2007 at 13.9% of renter households.

In a typical year about 9.3% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 44th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 8.4/10.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. It tracks the Polk County average of 3.9 closely.

Annual rent works out to 23% of average household income of $58,289. 47% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 12105010300

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12105010300?

Census tract 12105010300 in Lakeland scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12105010300?

Median gross rent is $1,096/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 30% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12105010300?

20.7% of residents in tract 12105010300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,025.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12105010300?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 83th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 68th, household 50th, minority 68th, housing 97th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12105010300?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,054 eviction filings across 17 validated years in tract 12105010300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 9.31% of renter households, peaking at 13.9% in 2007. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

How does tract 12105010300 compare to Lakeland overall?

Tract 12105010300 scores 4.1/10, higher than the parent city of Lakeland at 3.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lakeland eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lakeland

Top eight tracts in Lakeland ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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