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Census Tract · Ranked #44,239 of 84,120 nationally

Sarasota Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 12115000407 · Sarasota, FL · pop 4,814 · 82% of tract blocks fall in Sarasota

12115000407 is a census tract in Sarasota, FL. It scores 4.3/10 for landlords. It is home to 4,814 residents. The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 8.6/10.

Risk score
4.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 39% Stable renters 30% Owners 31%
Tract context
Occupied units2,030
Renter share69.5%
SVI overall0.68
Poverty rate6.0%
Median income$70,546

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
31 th percentile
Rank, 31st percentileLowHigh
#12 of 17 tracts In Sarasota
Low
Within county
78 th percentile
Rank, 78th percentileLowHigh
#28 of 122 tracts In Sarasota
High
Within state
63 th percentile
Rank, 63rd percentileLowHigh
#1,882 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Elevated
National
47 th percentile
Rank, 47th percentileLowHigh
#44,239 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Sarasota and the region

Centroid at 27.3437, -82.4998 · click any tract to drill in

Why Sarasota scores 4.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Sarasota
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.5
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
6.0% poverty · this tract
1.5
Supply constraint
$1,687 rent vs county FMR
4.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Sarasota
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Sarasota
8.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Sarasota
7.3

How Sarasota compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Sarasota risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.3This tracttract 0004074.2Sarasotaparent city3.8Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 68

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 237Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 6.10%Avg annual filing rate
  • 9.1%Peak (2002)
  • 22Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 12115000407
Filings dropped 63% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Sarasota

On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10. This is renter territory: 69% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.5/10. The severe-burden share is 17%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Cost burden runs 57% here against 50.3% across Sarasota County. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 237 filings here across 5 tracked years.

The worst year on record was 2002, when 9.1% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 6.1% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #44,239 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 7.1/10. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.

Poverty sits at 6%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. It tracks the Sarasota County average of 3.8 closely.

Average gross rent is $1,687, close to the Sarasota average.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 12115000407

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12115000407?

Census tract 12115000407 in Sarasota scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12115000407?

Median gross rent is $1,687/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12115000407?

6.0% of residents in tract 12115000407 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,814.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12115000407?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 68th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 48th, household 61th, minority 66th, housing 82th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12115000407?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 237 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 12115000407 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.10% of renter households, peaking at 9.1% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

How does tract 12115000407 compare to Sarasota overall?

Tract 12115000407 scores 4.3/10, right in line with the parent city of Sarasota at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Sarasota; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Sarasota

Top eight tracts in Sarasota ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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