Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #14,308 of 84,120 nationally
Brainerd Eviction Risk: Elevated , Chicago
Tract 17031730400 · Cook County, IL · pop 4,070 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi
17031730400 is a census tract in the Brainerd area of Chicago, IL. It scores 6.7/10 for landlords. Population here is 4,070. 36% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
6.7
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 12%
Stable renters 16%
Owners 72%
Tract context
Occupied units1,395
Renter share27.4%
SVI overall0.55
Poverty rate13.8%
Median income$88,365
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
39
th percentile
Low
Within county
57
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
80
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chicago and the region
Centroid at 41.7178, -87.6526 · click any tract to drill in
Why Brainerd scores 6.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
13.8% poverty · this tract
3.5
Supply constraint
$1,253 rent vs county FMR
2.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5
How Brainerd compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 55
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 68%Socioeconomic
- 22%Household composition
- 96%Racial/ethnic minority
- 35%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 49%Grade C
- 34%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 221Total filings over 15 yrs
- 5.40%Avg annual filing rate
- 5.8%Peak (2014)
- 19Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 58% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Brainerd. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 23.3%Housing insecurity
- 14.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 28.4%Food insecurity
- 27.5%SNAP enrollment
- 13.2%Transit barriers
- 9.7%No health insurance
- 15.9%Frequent mental distress
- 33.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Brainerd
The score leans hardest on local political climate at 8.5/10. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8/10. SNAP participation runs 27.5% against 15.2% nationally.
On the softer side, supply constraint reads 2.1/10. Food insecurity runs 28.4% against 17.8% nationally. The filing record is not thin: 221 evictions over 15 years of observation.
Average gross rent is $1,253, 13% below the Chicago average. It sits 0.6 points above the Cook County average of 6.1. Filings peaked in 2014 at 5.8% of renter households.
In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 5.4% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 83rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 6/10.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 17031730400
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031730400?
Census tract 17031730400 in the Brainerd neighborhood scores 6.7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17031730400?
Median gross rent is $1,253/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17031730400?
13.8% of residents in tract 17031730400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,070.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17031730400?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 55th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 68th, household 22th, minority 96th, housing 35th.
Q5
Is tract 17031730400 considered part of Brainerd?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031730400 fall within Brainerd (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031730400?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 221 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031730400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.40% of renter households, peaking at 5.8% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 17031730400 struggle to pay rent?
About 23.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 14.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 17031730400 compare to Chicago overall?
Tract 17031730400 scores 6.7/10, right in line with the parent city of Chicago at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 17031730400 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 34% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Chicago
Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · IL
Moreland
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Bryn Mawr West
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
South Englewood
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Park Manor
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Ellsworth
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Homan Square
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
The Bush
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Corwith
8.1
/ 10 · High
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