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Neighborhood · Fort Washington, MD

Tantallon Square Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 3,820 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.2/10 · range 3.2–3.2

Tantallon Square is a one-tract neighborhood of Fort Washington, MD and houses 3,820 people. The Eviction Risk Score is 3.2/10, in the Lower tier. Cost burden runs 62% against 31.3% citywide, putting Tantallon Square 30.2% over its own city.

The main counterweight is economic stress, at 1/10. 15% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate.

On the softer side is tenant-organizing strength, at 2.7/10. The voucher gap is 15.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears. The filing record is not thin: 28 evictions logged in this tract.

On the high side is rent-regulation exposure at 7.2/10. The worst year on record was 2014, when filings touched 9.3% of renter households. Recent filings have not receded much: 8.5% in 2016 against a 9.3% peak.

That places it #5 of 7 neighborhoods in Fort Washington. Only 14% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

Rent takes 20% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market. Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Average gross rent runs $2,667, close to the Fort Washington average.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 3.2/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
3.2
Lower
1 tracts · population-weighted
Tantallon Square vs Fort Washington How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
61.5% +96%
Fort Washington: 31.3%
Average gross rent
$2,667 -1%
Fort Washington: $2,690
Average HH income
$161,641 +11%
Fort Washington: $145,942
Poverty rate
3.5% -35%
Fort Washington: 5.4%
Renter share
13.8% +60%
Fort Washington: 8.7%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Tantallon Square and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 3.2–3.2

Why Tantallon Square scores 3.2

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts
5.7
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 9.0–9.0 across tracts
9.0
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 9.1–9.1 across tracts
9.1
Rent control risk
62% of income on rent · Range 7.2–7.2 across tracts
7.2
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.3–5.3 across tracts
5.3
Tenant organizing strength
14% renter households · Range 2.7–2.7 across tracts
2.7
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.2–5.2 across tracts
5.2
Economic stress
3.5% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Risk score comparison

Tantallon Square vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Tantallon Square score vs. parent city, state, U.S.3.2Tantallon SquareNeighborhood4.6Parent cityhost city5.5Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Tantallon Square

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
24033801307 3.2 3,820 62% $2,667
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 27

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 12%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 63%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 86%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 19%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Tantallon Square

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 28Total filings (sum)
  • 4.91%Avg annual filing rate
  • 9.3%Peak year (2014)
  • 8.47%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Tantallon Square

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Tantallon Square

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Tantallon Square?

Tantallon Square scores 3.2/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Tantallon Square compare to Fort Washington overall?

Tantallon Square scores 1.4 points lower than Fort Washington overall (4.6/10). Renters spend 62% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $2,667 vs $2,690.
Q3

What is the average rent in Tantallon Square?

Average gross rent in Tantallon Square is $2,667/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Tantallon Square residents are renters?

14% of Tantallon Square households are renter-occupied (vs 9% in Fort Washington). The neighborhood has 3,820 residents.
Q5

Is Tantallon Square a high social-vulnerability area?

Tantallon Square sits in the 27th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Tantallon Square for landlords?

Tantallon Square carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.2/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Fort Washington as a whole (4.6/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Tantallon Square?

Tantallon Square has 3,708 residents. Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (64.8%), White (non-Hispanic) (15.2%), Hispanic / Latino (13.9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Tantallon Square

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Fort Washington

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Tantallon Square.

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