Varsity neighborhood Eviction Risk: Moderate , University City
Tract 29189216000 · St. Louis County, MO · pop 1,595 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
29189216000 is a census tract in the Varsity neighborhood area of University City, MO. It scores 4.6/10 for landlords. It is home to 1,595 residents. Against St. Louis County at 42.0%, 59% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across University City and the region
Centroid at 38.6661, -90.3054 · click any tract to drill in
Why Varsity neighborhood scores 4.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Varsity neighborhood compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 47
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 68%Socioeconomic
- 66%Household composition
- 89%Racial/ethnic minority
- 5%Housing & transportation
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 68%Grade B
- 32%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 278Total filings over 8 yrs
- 14.55%Avg annual filing rate
- 18.8%Peak (2012)
- 41Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 196Total filings 2020-21
- 2.6Avg monthly (observed)
- 3.1Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.83×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Southwest Oregon, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Varsity neighborhood. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 20.9%Housing insecurity
- 15.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 21.7%Food insecurity
- 18.5%SNAP enrollment
- 12.5%Transit barriers
- 9.2%No health insurance
- 17.9%Frequent mental distress
- 36.6%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Varsity neighborhood
The dominant input is court filing pressure at 8.5/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 8.5/10.
18% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.8/10.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 278 filings here across 8 tracked years. At $1,135 a month, rents run 14% under what the rest of University City commands.
Inability to pay a utility bill runs 15.8% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. The worst year on record was 2012, when 18.8% of renter households were served.
This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for St. Louis. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 14.6% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 53% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 5.2/10. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. It tracks the St. Louis County average of 4.0 closely.
Annual rent works out to 26% of average household income of $51,938.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
About tract 29189216000
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29189216000?
What is the average rent in tract 29189216000?
What is the poverty rate in tract 29189216000?
How socially vulnerable is tract 29189216000?
Is tract 29189216000 considered part of Varsity neighborhood?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 29189216000?
Did eviction filings in tract 29189216000 drop during COVID?
What share of households in tract 29189216000 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 29189216000 compare to University City overall?
Was tract 29189216000 historically redlined?
Highest-risk tracts in University City
Top eight tracts in University City ranked by composite eviction-risk score.