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Neighborhood · Ranked #39,308 of 84,120 nationally

Varsity neighborhood Eviction Risk: Moderate , University City

Tract 29189216000 · St. Louis County, MO · pop 1,595 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

29189216000 is a census tract in the Varsity neighborhood area of University City, MO. It scores 4.6/10 for landlords. It is home to 1,595 residents. Against St. Louis County at 42.0%, 59% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 30% Stable renters 21% Owners 49%
Tract context
Occupied units612
Renter share50.8%
SVI overall0.47
Poverty rate14.4%
Median income$51,938

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
63 th percentile
Rank, 63rd percentileLowHigh
#4 of 9 tracts In Varsity neighborhood
Elevated
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 11 tracts In University City
Moderate
Within county
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#78 of 236 tracts In St. Louis County
Elevated
Within state
78 th percentile
Rank, 78th percentileLowHigh
#373 of 1,654 tracts In Missouri
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across University City and the region

Centroid at 38.6661, -90.3054 · click any tract to drill in

Why Varsity neighborhood scores 4.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from University City
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Missouri legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
14.4% poverty · this tract
3.6
Supply constraint
$1,135 rent vs county FMR
4.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from University City
1.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from University City
2.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from University City
2.1

How Varsity neighborhood compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Varsity neighborhood risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.6This tracttract 2160003.4University Cityparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 47

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 278Total filings over 8 yrs
  • 14.55%Avg annual filing rate
  • 18.8%Peak (2012)
  • 41Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2003 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 29189216000
Filings climbed 46% over the past 8 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 196Total filings 2020-21
  • 2.6Avg monthly (observed)
  • 3.1Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.83×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Southwest Oregon, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Varsity neighborhood. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Varsity neighborhood

The dominant input is court filing pressure at 8.5/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 8.5/10.

18% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.8/10.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 278 filings here across 8 tracked years. At $1,135 a month, rents run 14% under what the rest of University City commands.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 15.8% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. The worst year on record was 2012, when 18.8% of renter households were served.

This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for St. Louis. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 14.6% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 53% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 5.2/10. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. It tracks the St. Louis County average of 4.0 closely.

Annual rent works out to 26% of average household income of $51,938.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 29189216000

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29189216000?

Census tract 29189216000 in the Varsity neighborhood neighborhood scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 29189216000?

Median gross rent is $1,135/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 29189216000?

14.4% of residents in tract 29189216000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,595.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 29189216000?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 47th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 68th, household 66th, minority 89th, housing 5th.
Q5

Is tract 29189216000 considered part of Varsity neighborhood?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 29189216000 fall within Varsity neighborhood (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 29189216000?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 278 eviction filings across 8 validated years in tract 29189216000 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 14.55% of renter households, peaking at 18.8% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 29189216000 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.83× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Southwest Oregon eviction laws, OR), 2020-2021.
Q8

What share of households in tract 29189216000 struggle to pay rent?

About 20.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 15.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9

How does tract 29189216000 compare to University City overall?

Tract 29189216000 scores 4.6/10, higher than the parent city of University City at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from University City eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10

Was tract 29189216000 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in University City

Top eight tracts in University City ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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