Neighborhood · Ranked #8,653 of 84,120 nationally

Elmwood Village Eviction Risk: Elevated , Buffalo

Tract 36029006602 · Erie County, NY · pop 2,381 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

36029006602 is a census tract in the Elmwood Village area of Buffalo, NY. It scores 7.9/10 for landlords. Population here is 2,381. The dominant input is local political climate at 8/10.

Risk score

7.9

Elevated

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 28% Stable renters 30% Owners 42%

Tract context

Occupied units1,266

Renter share58.1%

SVI overall0.47

Poverty rate11.6%

Median income$72,108

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Buffalo and the region

Centroid at 42.9134, -78.8711 · click any tract to drill in

Why Elmwood Village scores 7.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Buffalo

8.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.7

State political climate

New York legislature & governorship

7.3

Economic stress

11.6% poverty · this tract

2.9

Supply constraint

$1,095 rent vs county FMR

4.3

Rent control risk

Inherited from Buffalo

7.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

8.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Buffalo

7.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Buffalo

7.5

How Elmwood Village compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 47

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

36%Socioeconomic
16%Household composition
35%Racial/ethnic minority
87%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: A: Best

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade A meant wealthy, predominantly white neighborhoods favored for lending. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

75%Grade A
17%Grade B
0%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Elmwood Village. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

9.1%Housing insecurity
5.9%Utility-shutoff threat
10.3%Food insecurity
9.3%SNAP enrollment
6.2%Transit barriers
5.2%No health insurance
13.3%Frequent mental distress
24.7%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Elmwood Village

The severe-burden share is 19%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. On the high side, eviction-process difficulty reads 8/10.

It sits 1.1 points above the Erie County average of 6.8. Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.5/10.

Food insecurity runs 10.3% against 17.8% nationally. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground A ("Best"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

On the national scale it lands near the 90th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 5.2/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. roughly one in two of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.

Average gross rent is $1,095, close to the Buffalo average.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 36029006602

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36029006602?

Census tract 36029006602 in the Elmwood Village neighborhood scores 7.9/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 36029006602?

Median gross rent is $1,095/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 36029006602?

11.6% of residents in tract 36029006602 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,381.

How socially vulnerable is tract 36029006602?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 47th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 36th, household 16th, minority 35th, housing 87th.

Is tract 36029006602 considered part of Elmwood Village?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 36029006602 fall within Elmwood Village (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 36029006602 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 36029006602 compare to Buffalo overall?

Tract 36029006602 scores 7.9/10, right in line with the parent city of Buffalo at 7.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Buffalo eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 36029006602 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of A. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Buffalo

Top eight tracts in Buffalo ranked by composite eviction-risk score.