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Neighborhood · Rochester, NY

Lyell-Otis Eviction Risk: High

2 census tracts · pop 6,532 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 8.8/10 · range 6.8–8.8

Lyell-Otis is a white-black neighborhood in Rochester with 2 census tracts and a population of 6,532 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 8.8/10 (High tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 66% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 34% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,013/month sits 6% lower than the Rochester citywide average ($1,081).

Risk score
8.8
High
2 tracts · population-weighted
Lyell-Otis vs Rochester How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
65.8% +106%
Rochester: 32.0%
Average gross rent
$1,013 -6%
Rochester: $1,081
Average HH income
$39,664 -15%
Rochester: $46,628
Poverty rate
29.1% +9%
Rochester: 26.6%
Renter share
50.3% -19%
Rochester: 61.9%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Lyell-Otis and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 6.8–8.8

Why Lyell-Otis scores 8.8

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 7.3–7.3 across tracts
7.3
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.1–6.1 across tracts
6.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Rent control risk
66% of income on rent · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts
7.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
50% renter households · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts
7.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts
7.0
Economic stress
29.1% below poverty line · Range 7.2–10.0 across tracts
7.2
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.1–5.0 across tracts
2.1
Risk score comparison

Lyell-Otis vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Lyell-Otis score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Lyell-Otis: 8.88.8Lyell-OtisNeighborhoodParent city: 9.19.1Parent cityhost cityState: 9.19.1Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Lyell-Otis

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
36055008801 8.8 6,510 66% $1,016
36055980200 6.8 22
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 87

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 92%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 96%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 77%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 40%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Lyell-Otis

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Lyell-Otis

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Lyell-Otis?

Lyell-Otis scores 8.8/10 (High tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Lyell-Otis compare to Rochester overall?

Lyell-Otis scores 0.3 points lower than Rochester overall (9.1/10). Renters spend 66% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $1,013 vs $1,081.
Q3

What is the average rent in Lyell-Otis?

Average gross rent in Lyell-Otis is $1,013/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 66% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Lyell-Otis residents are renters?

50% of Lyell-Otis households are renter-occupied (vs 62% in Rochester). The neighborhood has 6,532 residents.
Q5

Is Lyell-Otis a high social-vulnerability area?

Lyell-Otis sits in the 87th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Lyell-Otis have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Lyell-Otis is census tract 36055008801 (score 8.8/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 6.8 to 8.8, a spread of 2 points.
Q7

How safe is Lyell-Otis for landlords?

Lyell-Otis carries a high-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (8.8/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Rochester as a whole (9.1/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Lyell-Otis?

Lyell-Otis has 6,483 residents (White-Black Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (32%), Black (non-Hispanic) (31.4%), Hispanic / Latino (26.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Lyell-Otis

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Rochester

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Lyell-Otis.

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