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Neighborhood · Durham, NC

Forest Hills Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 3,965 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4/10 · range 4–4

Forest Hills is a one-tract neighborhood of Durham, NC, population 3,965. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 4/10, Moderate tier. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure, at 2/10.

19% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. On the softer side is economic stress, at 2.7/10. The filing record is not thin: 1,412 evictions logged in this tract.

34% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, above the Durham rate of 29.4%. Well under the midpoint is supply constraint, at 2.7/10.

The worst year on record was 2009, when filings touched 31.3% of renter households. Food insecurity affects 9.5% of adults, 8.3 points below the national rate. The most recent observed rate, 10.6% in 2017, is well off that peak.

Among the 58 mapped neighborhoods of Durham, it ranks #26 by risk, the middle third. Average gross rent runs $1,442, close to the Durham average. Annual rent works out to 22% of average household income of $80,000.

62% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

One tract means one number: 4/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
4
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Forest Hills vs Durham How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
33.8% +15%
Durham: 29.4%
Average gross rent
$1,442 -4%
Durham: $1,508
Average HH income
$80,000 +1%
Durham: $79,234
Poverty rate
10.7% -12%
Durham: 12.2%
Renter share
62.2% +30%
Durham: 47.7%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Forest Hills and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 4–4

Why Forest Hills scores 4

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.3–2.3 across tracts
2.3
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.1–8.1 across tracts
8.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Rent control risk
34% of income on rent · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
62% renter households · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Economic stress
10.7% below poverty line · Range 2.7–2.7 across tracts
2.7
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.7–2.7 across tracts
2.7
Risk score comparison

Forest Hills vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Forest Hills score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Forest Hills: 4.04.0Forest HillsNeighborhoodParent city: 4.04.0Parent cityhost cityState: 3.93.9Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Forest Hills

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
37063000700 4 3,965 34% $1,442
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 40

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 32%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 13%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 51%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 75%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Forest Hills

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,412Total filings (sum)
  • 17.85%Avg annual filing rate
  • 31.3%Peak year (2009)
  • 10.62%Latest filed (2017)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Forest Hills

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Forest Hills

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Forest Hills?

Forest Hills scores 4/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Forest Hills compare to Durham overall?

Forest Hills scores 0.0 points higher than Durham overall (4/10). Renters spend 34% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $1,442 vs $1,508.
Q3

What is the average rent in Forest Hills?

Average gross rent in Forest Hills is $1,442/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 34% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Forest Hills residents are renters?

62% of Forest Hills households are renter-occupied (vs 48% in Durham). The neighborhood has 3,965 residents.
Q5

Is Forest Hills a high social-vulnerability area?

Forest Hills sits in the 40th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Forest Hills for landlords?

Forest Hills carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Durham as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Forest Hills?

Forest Hills has 3,986 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (64.2%), Black (non-Hispanic) (17.7%), Other / Multiracial (8.1%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Forest Hills

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Durham

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Forest Hills.

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