Skip to content
Neighborhood

Eviction Risk in Black Horse Run , Durham

1 census tracts · pop 9,548 · pop-weighted composite 6.1/10 · range 6.1–6.1

Black Horse Run is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Durham with 1 census tract and a population of 9,548 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 6.1/10 (Elevated tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent burden + poverty. 54% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 11% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income).

Eviction Risk
6.1
Elevated tier · pop-weighted across tracts
Rent burden
54%
11% severely burdened
Median household income
$103,814
6.5% below poverty line
Risk score comparison

Black Horse Run vs. parent city, state, and U.S.

Composite landlord eviction-risk score (0–10 scale).

Black Horse Run score vs. parent city, state, U.S.U.S. avg = 5.0Black Horse Run: 6.16.1Black Horse RunNeighborhoodParent city: 5.25.2Parent cityhost cityState: 4.94.9Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.35.3U.S.national avg
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by composite score.

Peer · NC
Annie Day Shepard Dormitory
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
4 tracts · pop. 11.8K
Peer · NC
Beech Lake
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
2 tracts · pop. 4.8K
Peer · NC
Colonial Village
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
1 tracts · pop. 3.8K
Peer · NC
Lochside
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
1 tracts · pop. 6.4K
Comparison

Black Horse Run vs Durham

How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average.

Composite score
6.1 +17%
Durham: 5.2
Rent burden
53.7% +83%
Durham: 29.4%
Median gross rent
$0 -100%
Durham: $1,508
Median HH income
$103,814 +31%
Durham: $79,234
Poverty rate
6.5% -47%
Durham: 12.2%
Renter share
4.6% -90%
Durham: 47.7%
Where

Tract centroids in Black Horse Run

Dot color = eviction risk score for that tract.

Demographics

Racial & ethnic composition

White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood — 8,290 residents across all tracts in Black Horse Run. Source: ACS 5-year 2023 (B03002).

Hispanic / Latino: 8.3% White (non-Hispanic): 63.5% Black (non-Hispanic): 24.8% Asian (non-Hispanic): 0.9% Other / Multiracial: 2.4%
  • Hispanic / Latino 8.3%
  • White (non-Hispanic) 63.5%
  • Black (non-Hispanic) 24.8%
  • Asian (non-Hispanic) 0.9%
  • Other / Multiracial 2.4%
Census tracts

1 tracts in Black Horse Run

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop Rent burden Median rent
37063002100 6.1 9,548 54%
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 41

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 40%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 30%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 54%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 49%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Black Horse Run

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 229Total filings (sum)
  • 7.86%Avg annual filing rate
  • 12.7%Peak year (2013)
  • 8.17%Latest filed (2017)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Black Horse Run

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Black Horse Run

What is the eviction-risk score for Black Horse Run?

Black Horse Run scores 6.1/10 (Elevated tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted composite blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent burden and poverty signals.

How does Black Horse Run compare to Durham overall?

Black Horse Run scores 0.9 points higher than Durham overall (5.2/10). Rent burden: 54% vs 29% citywide.

What percentage of Black Horse Run residents are renters?

5% of Black Horse Run households are renter-occupied (vs 48% in Durham). The neighborhood has 9,548 residents.

Is Black Horse Run a high social-vulnerability area?

Black Horse Run sits in the 41th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Black Horse Run