Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #65,113 of 84,120 nationally
Waterford Eviction Risk: Lower , Durham
Tract 37063001713 · Durham County, NC · pop 3,344 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Tract 37063001713, home to 3,344 residents in the Waterford area of Durham, scores 5.4/10 for landlord eviction risk. On the national scale it ranks #39,926 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 21% of renter households, a modest level, and 21% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $2,897 a month while the average household earns $120,436 a year, roughly 29% of income at the averages. Renters make up 7% of occupied homes.
Risk score
2.6
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 2%
Stable renters 6%
Owners 92%
Tract context
Occupied units1,437
Renter share7.4%
SVI overall0.17
Poverty rate6.8%
Median income$120,436
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
15
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
13
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
21
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Durham and the region
Centroid at 36.0358, -78.9638 · click any tract to drill in
Why Waterford scores 2.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Durham
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.1
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
6.8% poverty · this tract
1.7
Supply constraint
$2,897 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Durham
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Durham
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Durham
4.5
How Waterford compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 17
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 33%Socioeconomic
- 43%Household composition
- 40%Racial/ethnic minority
- 5%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 6.6%Housing insecurity
- 4.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 7.5%Food insecurity
- 5.5%SNAP enrollment
- 4.9%Transit barriers
- 6.1%No health insurance
- 12.8%Frequent mental distress
- 26.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Waterford
The score leans hardest on supply constraint at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Durham eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Durham County average of 5.9 and in line with the North Carolina statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 6.6% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.5% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 17th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 37063001713
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37063001713?
Census tract 37063001713 in the Waterford neighborhood scores 2.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 37063001713?
Median gross rent is $2,897/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 21% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 37063001713?
6.8% of residents in tract 37063001713 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,344.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 37063001713?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 17th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 33th, household 43th, minority 40th, housing 5th.
Q5
Is tract 37063001713 considered part of Waterford?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 37063001713 fall within Waterford (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 37063001713 struggle to pay rent?
About 6.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 37063001713 compare to Durham overall?
Tract 37063001713 scores 2.6/10, lower than the parent city of Durham at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Durham eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Durham
Top eight tracts in Durham ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · NC
The Heights
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NC
Crest Street
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NC
Burch Avenue
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NC
Holloway Place
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NC
Annie Day Shepard Dormitory
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NC
Hillcrest
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Old West Durham
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Keene
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
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