1 census tracts · pop 3,344 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3/10
· range 3–3
Waterford maps to a single census tract in Durham, NC, population 3,344. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 3/10, in the Lower tier. Average gross rent is $2,897, 92% above the Durham average of $1,508.
The dominant input is supply constraint at 10/10. The voucher gap is 54.8%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears. Cost burden runs about one in five against 29.4% citywide, putting Waterford 8.8% under its own city.
Severe burden reaches 21%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. On the softer side is economic stress, at 1.7/10.
Well under the midpoint is rent-regulation exposure, at 2/10. CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 6.6% of adults, against 14.2% nationally.
SNAP participation is 5.5% of households versus 15.2% nationally. Among the 58 mapped neighborhoods of Durham, it ranks #44 by risk, the lower third.
Only 8% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. The closest comparables inside the same city are Homeplace III and Black Horse Run. Poverty sits at 7%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.
Annual rent works out to 29% of average household income of $120,436.
One tract means one number: 3/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.
Risk score
3
Lower
1 tracts · population-weighted
Waterford vs DurhamHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority40%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport5%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Waterford
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
6.6%Housing insecurity
4.5%Utility shutoff threat
7.5%Food insecurity
5.5%SNAP enrollment
6.1%No health insurance
26.5%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Waterford
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Waterford?
Waterford scores 3/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Waterford compare to Durham overall?
Waterford scores 1.0 points lower than Durham overall (4/10). Renters spend 21% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $2,897 vs $1,508.
Q3
What is the average rent in Waterford?
Average gross rent in Waterford is $2,897/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 21% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Waterford residents are renters?
8% of Waterford households are renter-occupied (vs 48% in Durham). The neighborhood has 3,344 residents.
Q5
Is Waterford a high social-vulnerability area?
Waterford sits in the 17th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
How safe is Waterford for landlords?
Waterford carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Durham as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7
What is the demographic breakdown of Waterford?
Waterford has 3,460 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (77%), Black (non-Hispanic) (8.4%), Other / Multiracial (7.9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
