Neighborhood · Durham, NC

Waterford Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 3,344 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 2.6/10 · range 2.6–2.6

Waterford is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Durham with 1 census tract and a population of 3,344 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 2.6/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 21% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 21% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $2,897/month sits 92% higher than the Durham citywide average ($1,508).

Risk score

2.6

Lower

1 tracts · population-weighted

Waterford vs Durham How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

20.6% -30%

Durham: 29.4%

Average gross rent

$2,897 +92%

Durham: $1,508

Average HH income

$120,436 +52%

Durham: $79,234

Poverty rate

6.8% -44%

Durham: 12.2%

Renter share

7.5% -84%

Durham: 47.7%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Waterford and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 2.6–2.6

Why Waterford scores 2.6

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 2.3–2.3 across tracts

2.3

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.1–8.1 across tracts

8.1

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts

7.5

Rent control risk

21% of income on rent · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts

2.0

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts

4.5

Tenant organizing strength

8% renter households · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts

6.5

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts

4.5

Economic stress

6.8% below poverty line · Range 1.7–1.7 across tracts

1.7

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 10.0–10.0 across tracts

10.0

Risk score comparison

Waterford vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Census tracts

1 tracts in Waterford

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
37063001713	2.6	3,344	21%	$2,897

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 17

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 33%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 43%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 40%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 5%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Waterford

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

6.6%Housing insecurity
4.5%Utility shutoff threat
7.5%Food insecurity
5.5%SNAP enrollment
6.1%No health insurance
26.5%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Waterford

What is the eviction-risk score for Waterford?

Waterford scores 2.6/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Waterford compare to Durham overall?

Waterford scores 0.8 points lower than Durham overall (3.4/10). Renters spend 21% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $2,897 vs $1,508.

What is the average rent in Waterford?

Average gross rent in Waterford is $2,897/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 21% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Waterford residents are renters?

8% of Waterford households are renter-occupied (vs 48% in Durham). The neighborhood has 3,344 residents.

Is Waterford a high social-vulnerability area?

Waterford sits in the 17th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

How safe is Waterford for landlords?

Waterford carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (2.6/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Durham as a whole (3.4/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Waterford?

Waterford has 3,460 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (77%), Black (non-Hispanic) (8.4%), Other / Multiracial (7.9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Waterford

3.9 Crest Street 2 tracts · pop 6,841 4.4 Horton Hills 2 tracts · pop 9,513 3.6 Hope Valley North 2 tracts · pop 10,080 5.2 Annie Day Shepard Dormitory 4 tracts · pop 11,781 4.5 Beech Lake 2 tracts · pop 4,792 5.2 Hillcrest 2 tracts · pop 8,879

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Durham

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Waterford.

2.6 Maida Vale 1 tracts · pop 4,266 2.7 River's Edge 1 tracts · pop 5,204 2.5 Parkwood 1 tracts · pop 4,948 2.7 Abron Drive 1 tracts · pop 4,898 2.8 Black Horse Run 1 tracts · pop 9,548 2.4 Triple Crown 1 tracts · pop 6,157

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