Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #24,926 of 84,120 nationally
East Side Eviction Risk: Moderate , Lancaster
Tract 42071000200 · Lancaster County, PA · pop 2,853 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Census tract 42071000200 covers the East Side area of Lancaster, home to 2,853 residents. For landlords it grades 5.8/10, a moderate reading. It lands near the 67th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 41% of renter households, a severe level, and 20% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,202 a month while the average household earns $82,813 a year, roughly 17% of income at the averages. Renters make up 38% of occupied homes.
Risk score
5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15%
Stable renters 22%
Owners 63%
Tract context
Occupied units1,167
Renter share37.5%
SVI overall0.52
Poverty rate15.2%
Median income$82,813
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
40
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
86
th percentile
High
Within state
74
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Lancaster and the region
Centroid at 40.0483, -76.2880 · click any tract to drill in
Why East Side scores 5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Lancaster
4.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.2
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
15.2% poverty · this tract
3.8
Supply constraint
$1,202 rent vs county FMR
3.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lancaster
5.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lancaster
9.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lancaster
6.9
How East Side compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 52
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 67%Socioeconomic
- 48%Household composition
- 67%Racial/ethnic minority
- 25%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 25%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 326Total filings over 7 yrs
- 12.41%Avg annual filing rate
- 14.0%Peak (2000)
- 47Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 16% over the past 7 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within East Side. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in East Side
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 9.3/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Lancaster eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Lancaster County average of 5.3 and above the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 326 eviction filings here over 7 tracked years, with about 12.4% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 14.0% of renter households in 2000.
The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 52nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 42071000200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42071000200?
Census tract 42071000200 in the East Side neighborhood scores 5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42071000200?
Median gross rent is $1,202/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42071000200?
15.2% of residents in tract 42071000200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,853.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42071000200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 52th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 67th, household 48th, minority 67th, housing 25th.
Q5
Is tract 42071000200 considered part of East Side?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42071000200 fall within East Side (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42071000200?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 326 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42071000200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 12.41% of renter households, peaking at 14.0% in 2000. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 42071000200 compare to Lancaster overall?
Tract 42071000200 scores 5/10, higher than the parent city of Lancaster at 4.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lancaster eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 42071000200 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Lancaster
Top eight tracts in Lancaster ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · PA
Mussertown
7.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Stevens
6.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Cabbage Hill
6.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Southside
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Ross
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Prospect Heights
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Conestoga Heights
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
West End
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
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