East Side Eviction Risk: Moderate , Lancaster

The severe-burden share is 20%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Against the Lancaster County average of 4.2, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.7 points.

Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 7.6/10. Court records carry 326 eviction filings across 7 observed years.

Running hot, housing-court posture reads 6.9/10. Filings peaked in 2000 at 14.0% of renter households.

This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Lancaster. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 12.4% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #19,618 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 5.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Rent consumes only 17% of average household income of $82,813, an unusually wide affordability cushion.

Statewide the PA average is 4.6, so this tract runs 1.3 points hotter. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.