Within neighborhood
67
th percentile
Elevated
Neighborhood · Ranked #9,433 of 84,120 nationally
Elmwood Eviction Risk: Elevated , Providence
Tract 44007000200 · Providence County, RI · pop 6,634 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
Census tract 44007000200 covers part of the Elmwood area of Providence, RI, and scores 7.7/10 on landlord eviction risk. 32% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
7.7
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 29%
Stable renters 28%
Owners 43%
Tract context
Occupied units2,716
Renter share57.3%
SVI overall0.86
Poverty rate15.2%
Median income$49,054
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
46
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
77
th percentile
High
Within state
85
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Providence and the region
Centroid at 41.7942, -71.4190 · click any tract to drill in
Why Elmwood scores 7.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Providence
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
Rhode Island legislature & governorship
5.5
Economic stress
15.2% poverty · this tract
3.8
Supply constraint
$1,095 rent vs county FMR
1.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Providence
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Providence
7.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Providence
6.5
How Elmwood compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 86
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 89%Socioeconomic
- 90%Household composition
- 90%Racial/ethnic minority
- 47%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 88%Grade B
- 12%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 130Total filings over 2 yrs
- 4.43%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.1%Peak (2015)
- 63Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 379Total filings 2020-21
- 4.9Avg monthly (observed)
- 4.9Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.01×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Portland, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Elmwood. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 27.5%Housing insecurity
- 15.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 33.3%Food insecurity
- 27.6%SNAP enrollment
- 14.9%Transit barriers
- 19.7%No health insurance
- 18.3%Frequent mental distress
- 34.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Elmwood
It sits 2.0 points above the Providence County average of 5.7. The clearest offset is supply constraint at 1.8/10. Housing insecurity runs 27.5% against 14.2% nationally.
Cost burden runs 51% here against 43.2% across Providence County. At $1,095 a month, rents run 22% under what the rest of Providence commands. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 7.5/10.
Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 7.5/10. Court records carry 130 eviction filings across 2 observed years. Adults with no health insurance runs 19.7% against 11.3% nationally.
Filings peaked in 2015 at 4.1% of renter households. This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Providence. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 4.4% of renter households face a filing.
Nationally it ranks #9,433 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Social vulnerability reads 8.7/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 44007000200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 44007000200?
Census tract 44007000200 in the Elmwood neighborhood scores 7.7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 44007000200?
Median gross rent is $1,095/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 44007000200?
15.2% of residents in tract 44007000200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,634.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 44007000200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 86th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 89th, household 90th, minority 90th, housing 47th.
Q5
Is tract 44007000200 considered part of Elmwood?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 44007000200 fall within Elmwood (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 44007000200?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 130 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 44007000200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.43% of renter households, peaking at 4.1% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 44007000200 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.01× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Portland, OR), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 44007000200 struggle to pay rent?
About 27.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 15.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 44007000200 compare to Providence overall?
Tract 44007000200 scores 7.7/10, higher than the parent city of Providence at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Providence eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 44007000200 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Providence
Top eight tracts in Providence ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · RI
Stimson Avenue Historic District
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · RI
Providence Jewelry Manufacturing Historic District
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · RI
Wesleyan Avenue Historic District
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · RI
Downtown
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · RI
Federal Hill
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · RI
Federal Hill
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · RI
Downtown
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · RI
Bridgham-Arch-Wilson Street Historic District
8
/ 10 · High
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