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Census Tract · Ranked #45,786 of 84,120 nationally

Goodyear Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 04013061063 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 1,421

04013061063 is a census tract in Goodyear, AZ. It scores 4.2/10 for landlords. Population here is 1,421. 45% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
4.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 53% Stable renters 18% Owners 29%
Tract context
Occupied units580
Renter share70.2%
SVI overall0.46
Poverty rate4.7%
Median income$55,179

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
91 th percentile
Rank, 91st percentileLowHigh
#3 of 24 tracts In Goodyear
Very High
Within county
70 th percentile
Rank, 70th percentileLowHigh
#307 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Elevated
Within state
68 th percentile
Rank, 68th percentileLowHigh
#559 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Elevated
National
46 th percentile
Rank, 46th percentileLowHigh
#45,786 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Goodyear and the region

Centroid at 33.4540, -112.3587 · click any tract to drill in

Why Goodyear scores 4.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Goodyear
5.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
4.7% poverty · this tract
1.2
Supply constraint
$1,404 rent vs county FMR
2.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Goodyear
8.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Goodyear
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Goodyear
5.9

How Goodyear compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Goodyear risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.24.2This tracttract 061063Goodyear: 4.04.0Goodyearparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 46

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Goodyear

Against Maricopa County at 46.0%, about three-quarters of renters here are cost-burdened. What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 8.9/10.

Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.2/10. 70% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

At $1,404 a month, rents run 28% under what the rest of Goodyear commands. On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.6/10.

Adults with no health insurance runs 19.9% against 11.3% nationally. Food insecurity runs 25.2% against 17.8% nationally. That is riskier than roughly 46% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Social vulnerability reads 5.2/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

It tracks the Maricopa County average of 3.7 closely.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013061063

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013061063?

Census tract 04013061063 in Goodyear scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013061063?

Median gross rent is $1,404/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 75% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013061063?

4.7% of residents in tract 04013061063 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,421.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013061063?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 46th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 72th, household 63th, minority 72th, housing 5th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 04013061063 struggle to pay rent?

About 19.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 04013061063 compare to Goodyear overall?

Tract 04013061063 scores 4.2/10, right in line with the parent city of Goodyear at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Goodyear eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Goodyear

Top eight tracts in Goodyear ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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