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Neighborhood · Ranked #10,885 of 84,120 nationally

Maryvale Terrace Eviction Risk: Elevated , Phoenix

Tract 04013109801 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 5,028 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

For landlords sizing up the Maryvale Terrace area of Phoenix, census tract 04013109801 carries a moderate eviction-risk score of 5.9/10. That is riskier than roughly 73% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

About 65% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 30% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,500 monthly, set against $42,260 in average yearly household income, roughly 43% of income at the averages. Renters make up 58% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
6.1
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 38% Stable renters 21% Owners 41%
Tract context
Occupied units1,264
Renter share58.5%
SVI overall0.89
Poverty rate30.3%
Median income$42,260

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 4 tracts In Maryvale Terrace
Very High
Within parent city
98 th percentile
Rank, 98th percentileLowHigh
#7 of 379 tracts In Phoenix
Very High
Within county
99 th percentile
Rank, 99th percentileLowHigh
#13 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Very High
Within state
95 th percentile
Rank, 95th percentileLowHigh
#82 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Phoenix and the region

Centroid at 33.4876, -112.1992 · click any tract to drill in

Why Maryvale Terrace scores 6.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Phoenix
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
30.3% poverty · this tract
7.6
Supply constraint
$1,500 rent vs county FMR
2.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Phoenix
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Phoenix
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Phoenix
3.0

How Maryvale Terrace compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Maryvale Terrace risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.16.1This tracttract 109801Phoenix: 2.82.8Phoenixparent cityCounty: 3.33.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.63.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 89

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 768Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 41.98%Avg annual filing rate
  • 57.1%Peak (2005)
  • 230Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2005
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040131098012001: 50 filings (14.20/100 renter HHs)2002: 115 filings (32.67/100 renter HHs)2003: 175 filings (49.72/100 renter HHs)2004: 198 filings (56.25/100 renter HHs)2005: 230 filings (57.07/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 360% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Maryvale Terrace. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Maryvale Terrace

The heaviest input here is economic stress at 7.6/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Phoenix eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Maricopa County average of 5.1 and above the Arizona statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 89th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 768 eviction filings here over 5 tracked years, with about 42.0% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 57.1% of renter households in 2005.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013109801

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013109801?

Census tract 04013109801 in the Maryvale Terrace neighborhood scores 6.1/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013109801?

Median gross rent is $1,500/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 65% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013109801?

30.3% of residents in tract 04013109801 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,028.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013109801?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 89th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 94th, household 88th, minority 95th, housing 52th.
Q5

Is tract 04013109801 considered part of Maryvale Terrace?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013109801 fall within Maryvale Terrace (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013109801?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 768 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013109801 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 41.98% of renter households, peaking at 57.1% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 04013109801 struggle to pay rent?

About 30.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 16.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 04013109801 compare to Phoenix overall?

Tract 04013109801 scores 6.1/10, higher than the parent city of Phoenix at 2.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Phoenix eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Phoenix

Top eight tracts in Phoenix ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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